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La Liga
Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero
Mallorca
S T U S U
3–1
Full-time
Elche
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 24%
20%
27%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
53%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,44 xG 0,29
42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 18. · Elche 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 16 13 1 2 +27 +15.2 40
2 Real Madrid 16 11 3 2 +17 +20.6 36
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 +18 +8.8 35
4 Ath Madrid 17 10 4 3 +14 +8.7 34
5 Espanol 15 8 3 4 +3 +6.3 27
6 Betis 15 6 6 3 +6 +6.0 24
7 Ath Bilbao 16 7 2 7 -5 +4.7 23
8 Getafe 15 6 2 7 -4 -3.9 20
9 Elche 15 4 7 4 +1 -4.1 19
10 Celta 15 4 7 4 -1 -2.7 19
11 Alaves 15 5 3 7 -2 +1.3 18
12 Vallecano 15 4 5 6 -3 +1.1 17
13 Sevilla 15 5 2 8 -4 -11.2 17
14 Sociedad 16 4 4 8 -4 -0.0 16
15 Osasuna 15 4 3 8 -4 -3.1 15
16 Valencia 16 3 6 7 -10 -4.8 15
17 Girona 16 3 6 7 -15 -11.8 15
18 Mallorca 15 3 5 7 -7 -11.3 14
19 Oviedo 15 2 4 9 -15 -13.9 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 -12 -6.0 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Elche
1–0 M. Morlanes
J. Virgili
5′
Manu Morlanes 🟨
20′
21′
P. Maffeo 2–0
own goal
Half-time 2–0
66′
🔁 J. Donald
↦ Y. Santiago
66′
🔁 A. Rodriguez
↦ A. Nunez
A. Sanchez 🔁
↦ M. Morlanes
71′
T. Asano 🔁
↦ M. Joseph
71′
78′
🔁 R. Mendoza
↦ M. Neto
Omar Mascarell 🟨
82′
3–0 O. Mascarell
82′
M. Morey Bauza 🔁
↦ J. Virgili
86′
P. Torre 🔁
↦ S. Darder
86′
87′
🔁 Andre Silva
↦ R. Mir
87′
🔁 Josan
↦ D. Affengruber
4–0 V. Muriqi
O. Mascarell
89′
A. Prats 🔁
↦ V. Muriqi
90′
Takuma Asano 🟨
94′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Mallorca

4-2-3-1
1 L. Roman G
23 P. Maffeo D
24 M. Valjent D
21 A. Raillo D
22 J. Mojica D
8 M. Morlanes M
5 O. Mascarell M
18 M. Joseph M
10 S. Darder M
17 J. Virgili M
7 V. Muriqi F
Bench (12)
13 L. Bergstrom
38 Torreguitart Nil
2 M. Morey Bauza
3 T. Lato
4 M. Kumbulla
6 A. Sanchez
9 A. Prats
11 T. Asano
19 J. Llabres
20 P. Torre
27 D. Lopez
30 M. Domenech

Coach: Jagoba Arrasate

Elche

4-1-4-1
13 I. Pena G
15 A. Nunez D
22 D. Affengruber D
23 V. Chust D
6 P. Bigas D
8 M. Aguado M
11 G. Valera M
16 M. Neto M
14 A. Febas M
7 Y. Santiago M
10 R. Mir F
Bench (12)
1 M. Dituro
3 A. Pedrosa
4 B. Diaby
5 F. Redondo Solari
9 Andre Silva
18 J. Donald
20 A. Rodriguez
21 L. Petrot
30 R. Mendoza
32 A. Boayar
35 A. Houary
17 Josan

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
3,07
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,30
U2,5
1,57
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.