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La Liga
Referee: M Busquets
Getafe
T U U S S
0–1
Full-time
Sevilla
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
33%
63%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
2,0
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,32 xG 0,32
31% Possession 69%
6 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
3 Offside 4
5 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 11. · Sevilla 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 25 19 3 3 +33 +29.3 60
2 Barcelona 24 19 1 4 +39 +29.9 58
3 Villarreal 24 15 3 6 +19 +7.8 48
4 Ath Madrid 25 14 6 5 +19 +11.6 48
5 Betis 25 11 9 5 +10 +8.4 42
6 Espanol 25 10 5 10 -6 -0.7 35
7 Celta 24 8 10 6 +5 +2.9 34
8 Ath Bilbao 25 10 4 11 -6 +9.8 34
9 Osasuna 25 9 6 10 +1 -4.4 33
10 Sociedad 25 8 8 9 -1 -0.2 32
11 Getafe 24 8 5 11 -8 -6.3 29
12 Girona 24 7 8 9 -14 -10.1 29
13 Sevilla 24 7 5 12 -8 -14.0 26
14 Vallecano 24 6 8 10 -9 -0.0 26
15 Alaves 24 7 5 12 -9 -1.6 26
16 Valencia 24 6 8 10 -12 -1.5 26
17 Elche 25 5 10 10 -5 -18.3 25
18 Mallorca 24 6 6 12 -10 -14.1 24
19 Levante 24 4 6 14 -15 -10.7 18
20 Oviedo 24 3 8 13 -23 -17.7 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Sevilla
Juan Iglesias 🟨
26′
Djené 🟥
26′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. Ejuke
↦ B. Mendy
46′
🔁 A. Januzaj
↦ G. Suazo
53′
🟨 Tanguy Nianzou
55′
🔁 J. A. Carmona
↦ T. Nianzou
64′
D. Sow 0–1
A. Adams
D. Rico 🔁
↦ A. Abqar
67′
A. Liso 🔁
↦ J. Iglesias
67′
M. Martin 🔁
↦ M. Arambarri
76′
V. Birmancevic 🔁
↦ L. Vazquez
76′
80′
🔁 A. Sanchez
↦ N. Maupay
89′
🔁 Peque
↦ A. Adams
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Getafe

5-3-2
13 D. Soria G
17 Kiko Femenia D
22 D. Duarte D
3 A. Abqar D
24 Z. Romero D
21 J. Iglesias D
5 L. Milla M
2 Djene M
8 M. Arambarri M
19 L. Vazquez F
10 M. Satriano F
Bench (10)
1 J. Letacek
14 Javier Munoz
6 M. Martin
12 A. Nyom
15 S. Boselli
16 D. Rico
18 Alex Sancris
20 V. Birmancevic
23 A. Liso
44 A. Riquelme

Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez

Sevilla

5-3-2
1 O. Vlachodimos G
3 C. Azpilicueta D
5 T. Nianzou D
6 N. Gudelj D
4 K. Salas D
12 G. Suazo D
19 B. Mendy M
18 L. Agoume M
20 D. Sow M
17 N. Maupay F
9 A. Adams F
Bench (12)
13 O. Nyland
33 R. Romero
2 J. A. Carmona
7 I. Romero
10 A. Sanchez
14 Peque
15 F. Cardoso
21 C. Ejuke
22 F. Gattoni
24 A. Januzaj
28 M. Bueno
29 M. Sierra

Coach: Luis Garcia Plaza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,39
U
2,87
B ✓
3,31
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,87
U2,5 ✓
1,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Busquets · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.