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Premier League

Referee: M Oliver

Crystal Palace

T T S S T

0–3

Full-time

Burnley

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Premier League · 23/22 matches

Win Ø 31%

35%

27%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

48%

27%

Both score Ø 38%

48%

27%

Average goals

2,9

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,6

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crystal Palace 13. · Burnley 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	22	15	5	2	+29	50
2	Leicester	24	14	4	6	+16	46
3	Man United	23	13	6	4	+19	45
4	Liverpool	24	11	7	6	+13	40
5	Chelsea	23	11	6	6	+14	39
6	West Ham	23	11	6	6	+6	39
7	Everton	21	11	4	6	+6	37
8	Tottenham	22	10	6	6	+14	36
9	Aston Villa	21	11	2	8	+12	35
10	Leeds	22	10	2	10	+0	32
11	Arsenal	23	9	4	10	+4	31
12	Southampton	22	8	5	9	-8	29
13	Crystal Palace	23	8	5	10	-12	29
14	Wolves	23	7	6	10	-8	27
15	Brighton	23	5	10	8	-5	25
16	Newcastle	23	7	4	12	-13	25
17	Burnley	22	6	5	11	-15	23
18	Fulham	22	2	9	11	-14	15
19	West Brom	23	2	6	15	-36	12
20	Sheffield United	23	3	2	18	-22	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	11	8	2	1	+15	26
2	Liverpool	12	7	2	3	+8	23
3	Chelsea	11	5	4	2	+10	19
4	Leicester	12	6	1	5	+3	19
5	Man United	12	5	3	4	+7	18
6	Tottenham	12	5	3	4	+4	18
7	West Ham	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	Aston Villa	10	5	1	4	+5	16
9	Southampton	11	5	1	5	+2	16
10	Wolves	12	4	4	4	+0	16
11	Arsenal	11	4	3	4	+1	15
12	Crystal Palace	11	4	3	4	-4	15
13	Everton	10	4	2	4	+1	14
14	Leeds	11	4	2	5	+0	14
15	Burnley	11	4	2	5	-4	14
16	Newcastle	12	4	2	6	-6	14
17	Brighton	11	1	6	4	-4	9
18	Sheffield United	12	2	1	9	-9	7
19	Fulham	12	1	4	7	-10	7
20	West Brom	11	1	3	7	-24	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	12	8	3	1	+13	27
2	Man United	11	8	3	0	+12	27
3	Man City	11	7	3	1	+14	24
4	Everton	11	7	2	2	+5	23
5	West Ham	12	6	3	3	+4	21
6	Chelsea	12	6	2	4	+4	20
7	Aston Villa	11	6	1	4	+7	19
8	Tottenham	10	5	3	2	+10	18
9	Leeds	11	6	0	5	+0	18
10	Liverpool	12	4	5	3	+5	17
11	Arsenal	12	5	1	6	+3	16
12	Brighton	12	4	4	4	-1	16
13	Crystal Palace	12	4	2	6	-8	14
14	Southampton	11	3	4	4	-10	13
15	Newcastle	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Wolves	11	3	2	6	-8	11
17	Burnley	11	2	3	6	-11	9
18	Fulham	10	1	5	4	-4	8
19	West Brom	12	1	3	8	-12	6
20	Sheffield United	11	1	1	9	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.