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2. Bundesliga

Heidenheim

T S U T T

2–0

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 39%

37%

40%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

47%

65%

Both score Ø 46%

42%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

22 Shots 9

13 Shots on target 1

8 Corners 4

16 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Heidenheim 10. · Erzgebirge Aue 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	21	12	6	3	+16	42
2	Hamburg	20	12	5	3	+21	41
3	Bochum	20	12	3	5	+16	39
4	Greuther Furth	20	11	5	4	+17	38
5	Hannover	21	10	3	8	+9	33
6	Karlsruhe	20	10	3	7	+6	33
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	20	9	5	6	+2	32
8	Erzgebirge Aue	20	8	5	7	+2	29
9	Paderborn	20	7	6	7	+1	27
10	Heidenheim	19	7	5	7	+0	26
11	Regensburg	20	6	7	7	-3	25
12	Nurnberg	20	6	5	9	-5	23
13	Darmstadt	20	6	4	10	-5	22
14	St Pauli	20	5	7	8	-6	22
15	Osnabruck	20	6	4	10	-10	22
16	Sandhausen	20	5	3	12	-17	18
17	Braunschweig	20	4	5	11	-22	17
18	Wurzburger Kickers	21	3	3	15	-22	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	10	7	1	2	+16	22
2	Heidenheim	10	6	3	1	+11	21
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	6	3	1	+6	21
4	Bochum	10	6	2	2	+13	20
5	Hannover	10	6	2	2	+11	20
6	Holstein Kiel	11	6	2	3	+4	20
7	Erzgebirge Aue	10	5	3	2	+5	18
8	Greuther Furth	10	5	2	3	+6	17
9	Paderborn	9	5	2	2	+4	17
10	Regensburg	10	4	3	3	+2	15
11	Sandhausen	10	4	3	3	+0	15
12	Karlsruhe	10	4	2	4	+2	14
13	Braunschweig	11	4	2	5	-6	14
14	St Pauli	10	3	3	4	-3	12
15	Nurnberg	10	3	3	4	-3	12
16	Darmstadt	10	3	2	5	-2	11
17	Wurzburger Kickers	10	2	3	5	-7	9
18	Osnabruck	10	2	1	7	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	10	6	4	0	+12	22
2	Greuther Furth	10	6	3	1	+11	21
3	Hamburg	10	5	4	1	+5	19
4	Karlsruhe	10	6	1	3	+4	19
5	Bochum	10	6	1	3	+3	19
6	Osnabruck	10	4	3	3	-3	15
7	Hannover	11	4	1	6	-2	13
8	Nurnberg	10	3	2	5	-2	11
9	Darmstadt	10	3	2	5	-3	11
10	Erzgebirge Aue	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	2	5	-4	11
12	St Pauli	10	2	4	4	-3	10
13	Paderborn	11	2	4	5	-3	10
14	Regensburg	10	2	4	4	-5	10
15	Heidenheim	9	1	2	6	-11	5
16	Wurzburger Kickers	11	1	0	10	-15	3
17	Braunschweig	9	0	3	6	-16	3
18	Sandhausen	10	1	0	9	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.