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Ligue 1
Referee: K Abed
Montpellier
S U U U T
1–2
Full-time
St Etienne
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 32%
35%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
62%
47%
Both score Ø 63%
76%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 8. · St Etienne 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 35 22 10 3 +37 76
2 Paris SG 35 24 3 8 +52 75
3 Monaco 34 22 5 7 +33 71
4 Lyon 34 19 10 5 +32 67
5 Lens 35 15 11 9 +7 56
6 Marseille 35 15 11 9 +7 56
7 Rennes 35 15 9 11 +11 54
8 Montpellier 34 12 11 11 -3 47
9 Metz 35 12 10 13 +0 46
10 Nice 35 13 7 15 -3 46
11 Reims 35 9 15 11 -2 42
12 Angers 35 11 8 16 -19 41
13 Brest 35 11 7 17 -13 40
14 St Etienne 34 10 9 15 -13 39
15 Bordeaux 35 11 6 18 -15 39
16 Strasbourg 35 10 8 17 -10 38
17 Lorient 35 10 8 17 -16 38
18 Nantes 35 7 13 15 -14 34
19 Nimes 35 8 8 19 -29 32
20 Dijon 35 3 9 23 -42 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier St Etienne
1–0 A. Delort
F. Mollet
6′
16′
R. Hamouma 1–1
D. Bouanga
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Gabriel Silva
50′
M. Debuchy 1–2
M. Camara
K. Dolly 🔁
↦ J. Chotard
64′
S. Mavididi 🔁
↦ S. Wahi
64′
72′
🔁 K. Monnet-Paquet
↦ A. Nordin
S. Benchama 🔁
↦ C. Vidal
75′
75′
🔁 A. Aouchiche
↦ R. Hamouma
Samy Benchama 🟨
80′
P. Škuletić 🔁
↦ G. Laborde
86′
89′
🔁 C. Abi
↦ D. Bouanga
89′
🔁 Z. Youssouf
↦ W. Khazri
Keagan Dolly 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
3 D. Congré D
7 M. Ristić D
31 N. Cozza D
27 C. Vidal D
14 D. Le Tallec M
25 F. Mollet M
13 J. Chotard M
9 A. Delort F
10 G. Laborde M
21 S. Wahi M
Bench (8)
20 K. Dolly
19 S. Mavididi
26 S. Benchama
32 P. Škuletić
6 S. Sambia
24 Yun Il-Lok
33 M. Esteve
16 D. Bertaud

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

St Etienne

4-4-2
40 E. Green G
26 M. Debuchy D
11 Gabriel Silva D
2 H. Moukoudi D
6 P. Cissé D
8 M. Camara M
33 L. Gourna-Douath M
10 W. Khazri F
21 R. Hamouma F
20 D. Bouanga M
18 A. Nordin M
Bench (9)
22 K. Monnet-Paquet
17 A. Aouchiche
9 C. Abi
28 Z. Youssouf
5 T. Kolodziejczak
32 M. Rivera
35 S. Sow
31 N. Sissoko
1 S. Bajic

Coach: C. Puel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,42
U
3,34
B ✓
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.