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Serie A
Referee: M Guida
Udinese
U T T T S
0–1
Full-time
Cagliari
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 24%
29%
19%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 12. · Cagliari 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 31 23 6 2 +42 75
2 Milan 32 20 6 6 +22 66
3 Atalanta 31 19 7 5 +34 64
4 Juventus 31 18 8 5 +33 62
5 Napoli 31 19 3 9 +31 60
6 Lazio 30 18 4 8 +10 58
7 Roma 31 16 6 9 +8 54
8 Sassuolo 32 13 10 9 +4 49
9 Verona 32 11 8 13 +0 41
10 Sampdoria 31 11 6 14 -4 39
11 Bologna 31 10 7 14 -4 37
12 Udinese 31 9 9 13 -7 36
13 Fiorentina 32 8 9 15 -12 33
14 Genoa 31 7 11 13 -13 32
15 Spezia 31 8 8 15 -18 32
16 Torino 30 6 12 12 -8 30
17 Benevento 31 7 9 15 -27 30
18 Cagliari 31 6 7 18 -19 25
19 Parma 31 3 11 17 -31 20
20 Crotone 31 4 3 24 -41 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Cagliari
39′
ℹ️ João Pedro
VAR: Goal cancelled
45′
🟨 Leonardo Pavoletti
Half-time 0–0
53′
ℹ️ Andrea Carboni
VAR: Goal cancelled
55′
João Pedro 0–1
59′
🟨 Radja Nainggolan
I. Nestorovski 🔁
↦ F. Forestieri
60′
J. Braaf 🔁
↦ B. Nuytinck
78′
78′
🔁 A. Duncan
↦ A. Deiola
78′
🔁 G. Simeone
↦ João Pedro
Llorente 🔁
↦ R. Pereyra
86′
T. Ouwejan 🔁
↦ J. Stryger Larsen
86′
87′
🔁 G. Zappa
↦ R. Marin
90′
🔁 D. Rugani
↦ L. Pavoletti
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 J. Musso G
19 J. Stryger Larsen M
17 B. Nuytinck D
14 K. Bonifazi D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
16 N. Molina M
37 R. Pereyra M
22 T. Arslan M
11 Walace M
45 F. Forestieri F
7 S. Okaka F
Bench (11)
30 I. Nestorovski
21 J. Braaf
32 Llorente
5 T. Ouwejan
87 S. De Maio
31 M. Gasparini
3 Samir
96 S. Scuffet
29 P. Mićin
6 J. Makengo
90 M. Zeegelaar

Coach: L. Gotti

Cagliari

3-5-2
31 G. Vicario G
2 D. Godín D
19 K. Asamoah M
23 L. Ceppitelli D
44 A. Carboni D
4 R. Nainggolan M
10 João Pedro F
8 R. Marin M
14 A. Deiola M
18 N. Nández M
30 L. Pavoletti F
Bench (12)
32 A. Duncan
9 G. Simeone
25 G. Zappa
24 D. Rugani
22 C. Lykogiannis
20 G. Pereiro
16 A. Calabresi
27 A. Cerri
1 S. Aresti
34 G. Ciocci
15 R. Klavan
40 S. Walukiewicz

Coach: L. Semplici

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U
3,25
B ✓
2,97
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.