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Serie A

Referee: D Massa

Bologna

U S T U T

3–0

Full-time

Lazio

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

4,0

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

4,0

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bologna 11. · Lazio 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	6	0	0	+14	18
2	Inter	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	Milan	6	5	1	0	+9	16
4	Roma	6	4	0	2	+6	12
5	Fiorentina	6	4	0	2	+0	12
6	Lazio	6	3	2	1	+6	11
7	Atalanta	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Juventus	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Empoli	6	3	0	3	-1	9
10	Torino	7	2	2	3	+2	8
11	Bologna	6	2	2	2	-5	8
12	Sassuolo	7	2	1	4	-2	7
13	Udinese	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Verona	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Genoa	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Venezia	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Spezia	6	1	1	4	-7	4
19	Salernitana	7	1	1	5	-10	4
20	Cagliari	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Roma	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Inter	3	2	1	0	+9	7
5	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+6	7
6	Bologna	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Torino	4	1	1	2	+2	4
8	Juventus	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Udinese	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Salernitana	4	1	1	2	-4	4
13	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Verona	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Cagliari	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Spezia	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Fiorentina	4	3	0	1	+1	9
4	Atalanta	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Milan	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Empoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-4	4
13	Venezia	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Roma	3	1	0	2	+2	3
15	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Verona	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Salernitana	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.