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Serie B
Referee: F Dionisi
Modena
S U T U S
1–3
Full-time
Sampdoria
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Modena 11. · Sampdoria 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 6 4 2 0 +5 14
2 Spezia 7 3 4 0 +4 13
3 Sassuolo 7 3 3 1 +1 12
4 Cremonese 6 3 1 2 +3 10
5 Mantova 6 3 1 2 +0 10
6 Bari 7 2 3 2 +2 9
7 Brescia 6 3 0 3 +2 9
8 Sudtirol 6 3 0 3 +0 9
9 Reggiana 7 2 3 2 +0 9
10 Cosenza 7 2 3 2 +0 9
11 Modena 6 2 2 2 +2 8
12 Cesena 6 2 2 2 +1 8
13 Palermo 6 2 2 2 +0 8
14 Cittadella 7 2 2 3 -1 8
15 Juve Stabia 6 2 2 2 -2 8
16 Salernitana 6 2 1 3 -1 7
17 Catanzaro 6 1 3 2 -1 6
18 Frosinone 7 1 3 3 -7 6
19 Sampdoria 6 1 2 3 -2 5
20 Carrarese 7 1 1 5 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Sampdoria
Antonio Pergreffi 🟨
-5′
6′
🔁 A. Riccio
↦ S. Romagnoli
9′
🟨 Gerard Yepes
10′
🟨 Leonardo Benedetti
Edoardo Duca 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
G. Caso 🔁
↦ E. Duca
46′
46′
🔁 P. Kasami
↦ L. Benedetti
57′
N. Ioannou 0–1
P. Kasami
59′
ℹ️ Nicholas Ioannou
VAR: Goal confirmed
60′
🟨 Nicholas Ioannou
67′
🟨 Massimo Coda
68′
🔁 F. Depaoli
↦ N. Ioannou
68′
🔁 R. Vieira
↦ A. Bellemo
G. Beyuku 🔁
↦ A. Dellavalle
69′
74′
🔁 E. Akinsanmiro
↦ R. Vieira
76′
G. Tutino 0–2
M. Coda
79′
M. Coda 0–3
G. Tutino
1–3 G. Beyuku
A. Palumbo
83′
T. Zidouh 🔁
↦ L. Magnino
84′
C. Cauz 🔁
↦ K. Bozhanaj
92′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Modena

4-2-3-1
26 R. Gagno G
25 A. Dellavalle D
19 G. Zaro D
23 M. Caldara D
27 R. Idrissi D
6 L. Magnino M
8 S. Santoro M
10 A. Palumbo M
7 E. Duca M
21 K. Bozhanaj M
90 F. Abiuso F
Bench (10)
20 G. Caso
2 G. Beyuku
45 T. Zidouh
33 C. Cauz
4 A. Pergreffi
80 G. Sarris
78 F. Bagheria
29 M. Cotali
24 M. Oliva
1 J. Sassi

Coach: P. Bisoli

Sampdoria

3-5-2
33 M. Silvestri G
24 B. Bereszyński D
6 S. Romagnoli D
31 S. Vulikić D
18 L. Venuti M
80 L. Benedetti M
28 Gerard Yepes M
7 A. Bellemo M
44 N. Ioannou M
10 G. Tutino F
9 M. Coda F
Bench (12)
5 A. Riccio
14 P. Kasami
23 F. Depaoli
4 R. Vieira
15 E. Akinsanmiro
17 M. Meulensteen
84 N. Sekulov
72 D. Veroli
20 A. La Gumina
21 S. Giordano
3 A. Barreca
1 P. Vismara

Coach: A. Sottil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U
3,09
B ✓
3,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,35
U2,5
1,57
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.