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Eliteserien
Referee: S Sinnes
Lillestrom
T T T U T
1–4
Full-time
Viking
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Viking
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 37%
26%
48%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
65%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
52%
61%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,97 xG 2,38
51% Possession 49%
6 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 16. · Viking 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 23 15 5 3 +32 +16.4 50
2 Brann 24 13 7 4 +14 +9.4 46
3 Molde 24 13 5 6 +26 +15.9 44
4 Viking 23 11 7 5 +12 +11.7 40
5 Fredrikstad 24 11 7 6 +3 +2.1 40
6 Rosenborg 23 11 4 8 +5 +5.0 37
7 KFUM Oslo 23 7 9 7 -1 +6.4 30
8 Ham-Kam 24 7 8 9 +1 -2.4 29
9 Tromso 24 8 4 12 -5 -11.5 28
10 Stromsgodset 24 7 7 10 -9 -6.1 28
11 Kristiansund 22 6 8 8 -5 -9.0 26
12 Sarpsborg 08 24 7 5 12 -15 -6.8 26
13 Haugesund 24 6 5 13 -14 -6.7 23
14 Sandefjord 22 5 7 10 -7 -2.6 22
15 Odd 23 5 7 11 -16 -14.7 22
16 Lillestrom 23 6 3 14 -21 -7.1 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Viking
Thomas Lehne Olsen ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
5′
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
46′
P. Christiansen 0–1
Z. Tripić
46′
H. Heggheim 0–2
V. Vevatne
48′
ℹ️ Viljar Helland Vevatne
VAR: Goal confirmed
51′
🟨 Joe Bell
59′
S. Svendsen 0–3
S. Kvia-Egeskog
Ylldren Ibrahimaj 🟨
63′
S. Foss 🔁
↦ M. Roseth
64′
64′
🔁 H. Finndell
↦ Y. de Lanlay
M. Karlsbakk 🔁
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
65′
66′
P. Christiansen 0–4
V. Vevatne
1–4
68′
V. Hoff 🔁
↦ M. Lundemo
75′
F. Elkær 🔁
↦ Mohanad Jeahze
75′
81′
🔁 N. Fuglestad
↦ S. Svendsen
83′
🟨 Hampus Finndell
M. Diop 🔁
↦ U. Charles
83′
86′
🔁 H. Haugen
↦ S. Kvia-Egeskog
86′
🔁 C. Cappis
↦ P. Christiansen
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Lillestrom

5-3-2
12 M. Hedenstad G
16 U. Charles D
28 R. Gabrielsen D
4 E. Garnås D
3 M. Roseth D
5 Mohanad Jeahze D
7 Y. Ibrahimaj M
8 M. Lundemo M
23 G. Åsen M
10 T. Lehne Olsen F
20 F
Bench (9)
30 S. Foss
21 M. Karlsbakk
6 V. Hoff
11 F. Elkær
33 M. Diop
17 E. Kitolano
1 S. Hagerup
55 K. Krygård
15 E. Knudtzon

Coach: D. Nielsen

Viking

4-1-4-1
12 M. Rugland Ree G
15 H. Heggheim D
6 G. Stensness D
4 S. Langås D
3 V. Vevatne D
8 J. Bell M
29 S. Svendsen M
11 Y. de Lanlay M
26 S. Kvia-Egeskog M
10 Z. Tripić M
20 P. Christiansen F
Bench (9)
13 H. Finndell
31 N. Fuglestad
2 H. Haugen
27 C. Cappis
51 A. Bergsvik
32 K. Sætherbø
16 K. Løkberg
23 J. Urbančič
33 J. Hansen

Coach: B. Aarsheim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Sinnes · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.