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Allsvenskan

Referee: O Johnson

Kalmar

U U S T U

1–3

Full-time

Elfsborg

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 36%

25%

46%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

71%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

71%

63%

Average goals

3,4

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,43 xG 2,57

59% Possession 41%

11 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kalmar 15. · Elfsborg 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	24	16	5	3	+38	+22.3	53
2	Djurgarden	25	14	4	7	+10	+2.0	46
3	AIK	25	14	3	8	+2	+2.7	45
4	Hammarby	25	13	5	7	+18	+4.8	44
5	GAIS	24	12	4	8	+4	-4.2	40
6	Mjallby	24	11	6	7	+6	+1.4	39
7	Elfsborg	24	11	5	8	+11	+5.2	38
8	Sirius	23	10	4	9	+4	+2.3	34
9	Hacken	24	9	6	9	+0	-6.6	33
10	Brommapojkarna	24	6	9	9	-7	-2.2	27
11	Norrkoping	24	7	6	11	-17	-6.2	27
12	Varnamo	25	6	7	12	-10	-6.4	25
13	Goteborg	24	5	9	10	-11	-6.1	24
14	Halmstad	25	7	3	15	-17	-5.9	24
15	Kalmar	24	6	4	14	-17	-7.2	22
16	Vasteras SK	24	5	4	15	-14	+4.1	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	11	10	0	1	+27	+9.6	30
2	Elfsborg	13	8	3	2	+17	+4.9	27
3	GAIS	13	8	3	2	+10	+0.3	27
4	AIK	12	8	1	3	+11	+4.7	25
5	Mjallby	12	7	4	1	+10	+2.7	25
6	Hammarby	12	7	3	2	+13	+3.5	24
7	Djurgarden	12	6	3	3	+3	-0.4	21
8	Hacken	12	5	3	4	+6	-1.9	18
9	Sirius	12	5	2	5	+5	+4.3	17
10	Halmstad	13	5	2	6	+2	-0.0	17
11	Norrkoping	11	5	1	5	-5	-2.5	16
12	Kalmar	12	3	2	7	-6	-1.3	11
13	Vasteras SK	13	3	2	8	-7	+4.0	11
14	Goteborg	12	2	5	5	-7	-4.3	11
15	Brommapojkarna	11	2	5	4	-8	-1.1	11
16	Varnamo	13	2	3	8	-12	-1.9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	13	8	1	4	+7	+2.3	25
2	Malmo FF	13	6	5	2	+11	+12.7	23
3	Hammarby	13	6	2	5	+5	+1.3	20
4	AIK	13	6	2	5	-9	-2.0	20
5	Sirius	11	5	2	4	-1	-2.0	17
6	Varnamo	12	4	4	4	+2	-4.5	16
7	Brommapojkarna	13	4	4	5	+1	-1.1	16
8	Hacken	12	4	3	5	-6	-4.7	15
9	Mjallby	12	4	2	6	-4	-1.3	14
10	Goteborg	12	3	4	5	-4	-1.8	13
11	GAIS	11	4	1	6	-6	-4.5	13
12	Elfsborg	11	3	2	6	-6	+0.3	11
13	Kalmar	12	3	2	7	-11	-5.9	11
14	Norrkoping	13	2	5	6	-12	-3.7	11
15	Vasteras SK	11	2	2	7	-7	+0.1	8
16	Halmstad	12	2	1	9	-19	-5.8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.