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Eliteserien
Referee: E Eskås
Stromsgodset
S T T U S
1–1
Full-time
Ham-Kam
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Ham-Kam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
48%
43%
Both score Ø 48%
52%
43%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,43 xG 0,97
42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 9
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 14
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 10. · Ham-Kam 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 23 15 5 3 +32 +16.4 50
2 Brann 24 13 7 4 +14 +9.4 46
3 Molde 24 13 5 6 +26 +15.9 44
4 Viking 23 11 7 5 +12 +11.7 40
5 Fredrikstad 24 11 7 6 +3 +2.1 40
6 Rosenborg 23 11 4 8 +5 +5.0 37
7 KFUM Oslo 23 7 9 7 -1 +6.4 30
8 Ham-Kam 23 7 7 9 +1 -2.0 28
9 Tromso 24 8 4 12 -5 -11.5 28
10 Stromsgodset 23 7 6 10 -9 -6.6 27
11 Kristiansund 22 6 8 8 -5 -9.0 26
12 Sarpsborg 08 24 7 5 12 -15 -6.8 26
13 Haugesund 24 6 5 13 -14 -6.7 23
14 Sandefjord 22 5 7 10 -7 -2.6 22
15 Odd 23 5 7 11 -16 -14.7 22
16 Lillestrom 23 6 3 14 -21 -7.1 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Ham-Kam
Jesper Taaje 🟨
28′
1–0 E. Andersen
N. Möller
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Bjarnason
↦ F. Sjølstad
53′
🟨 Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason
67′
🔁 A. Ødegård
↦ K. Onsrud
E. Melkersen 🔁
↦ E. Andersen
71′
77′
🔁 H. Udahl
↦ M. Mawa
Marko Farji 🔁
↦ N. Möller
82′
88′
🔁 A. Ekeroth
↦ J. Norheim
88′
🔁 P. Kirkevold
↦ W. Kurtović
89′
S. Strand Nilsen 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

5-3-2
1 P. Kristian Bråtveit G
26 L. Vilsvik D
25 J. Taaje D
71 G. Valsvik D
27 F. Dahl D
17 L. Tómasson D
10 H. Stengel M
8 K. Krasniqi M
23 E. Andersen M
22 J. Therkelsen F
7 N. Möller F
Bench (9)
9 E. Melkersen
21 Marko Farji
5 B. Sørmo
36 F. Ardraa
32 F. Stople
20 E. Danso
37 S. Silalahi
4 S. Westerlund
84 A. Skistad

Coach: J. Isnes

Ham-Kam

5-3-2
12 M. Sandberg G
22 S. Strand Nilsen
14 L. Mares D
23 F. Sjølstad D
6 J. Norheim D
2 V. Kongsro D
18 G. Simenstad M
19 W. Kurtović M
7 K. Onsrud M
10 M. Mawa F
77 M. Ofkir F
Bench (8)
26 B. Bjarnason
24 A. Ødegård
9 H. Udahl
5 A. Ekeroth
16 P. Kirkevold
15 W. Osnes-Ringen
30 A. Nilsson
25 J. Rasen

Coach: J. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.