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Serie A

Referee: M Guida

Cagliari

T T U S S

2–1

Full-time

Genoa

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

2,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 20%

10%

30%

Points per game

0,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

2,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,85 xG 1,05

40% Possession 60%

12 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 1

5 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 19. · Genoa 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	11	9	1	1	+21	+14.1	28
2	Juventus	10	7	2	1	+10	+10.7	23
3	Milan	11	7	1	3	+6	+3.7	22
4	Napoli	11	6	3	2	+12	+12.5	21
5	Atalanta	11	6	1	4	+9	+5.8	19
6	Bologna	11	4	6	1	+4	+2.3	18
7	Fiorentina	10	5	2	3	+4	-3.3	17
8	Monza	11	4	4	3	+2	+0.3	16
9	Lazio	11	5	1	5	+0	+1.1	16
10	Roma	10	4	2	4	+7	+4.2	14
11	Lecce	10	3	4	3	-2	-6.6	13
12	Frosinone	10	3	3	4	-2	-1.9	12
13	Torino	10	3	3	4	-5	-4.4	12
14	Genoa	10	3	2	5	-3	-3.8	11
15	Sassuolo	10	3	2	5	-4	-6.2	11
16	Udinese	11	1	7	3	-7	+0.5	10
17	Verona	11	2	2	7	-8	-8.6	8
18	Empoli	10	2	1	7	-16	-6.0	7
19	Cagliari	10	1	3	6	-12	-3.0	6
20	Salernitana	11	0	4	7	-16	-11.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	6	4	1	1	+10	+8.3	13
2	Juventus	5	4	1	0	+6	+7.9	13
3	Bologna	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.8	13
4	Roma	5	3	1	1	+9	+3.9	10
5	Atalanta	5	3	1	1	+6	+3.0	10
6	Lazio	5	3	1	1	+3	+3.5	10
7	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.2	10
8	Lecce	6	3	1	2	-1	-1.1	10
9	Monza	5	2	3	0	+5	+4.3	9
10	Milan	5	3	0	2	+4	+2.9	9
11	Napoli	5	2	1	2	+2	+6.1	7
12	Fiorentina	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.5	7
13	Genoa	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.1	7
14	Sassuolo	6	2	1	3	-1	-1.4	7
15	Torino	5	1	3	1	-2	-1.4	6
16	Verona	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.7	4
17	Cagliari	5	1	1	3	-6	+0.6	4
18	Empoli	6	1	1	4	-6	-1.7	4
19	Udinese	5	0	3	2	-5	+3.0	3
20	Salernitana	6	0	3	3	-9	-4.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	5	5	0	0	+11	+5.8	15
2	Napoli	6	4	2	0	+10	+6.4	14
3	Milan	6	4	1	1	+2	+0.8	13
4	Juventus	5	3	1	1	+4	+2.8	10
5	Fiorentina	6	3	1	2	+2	-4.8	10
6	Atalanta	6	3	0	3	+3	+2.9	9
7	Udinese	6	1	4	1	-2	-2.5	7
8	Monza	6	2	1	3	-3	-4.0	7
9	Lazio	6	2	0	4	-3	-2.4	6
10	Torino	5	2	0	3	-3	-3.0	6
11	Bologna	5	0	5	0	+0	+0.4	5
12	Roma	5	1	1	3	-2	+0.3	4
13	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-3	-4.9	4
14	Genoa	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.7	4
15	Verona	6	1	1	4	-4	-5.9	4
16	Lecce	4	0	3	1	-1	-5.5	3
17	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-10	-4.3	3
18	Frosinone	5	0	2	3	-4	-2.1	2
19	Cagliari	5	0	2	3	-6	-3.6	2
20	Salernitana	5	0	1	4	-7	-7.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.