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Premier League
Referee: Darren England
Hull
T S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Man United
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,01 xG 1,83
28% Possession 72%
8 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Feb -17 Man United – Hull 0–0 27. Aug -16 Hull – Man United 0–1

Match report

Hull Man United
1–0 S. Ajayi ⚽
17′
34′
🟨 Patrick Dorgu
2–0 N. Mendy ⚽
R. Slater
38′
Matt Crooks 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Rashford
↦ P. Dorgu
P. McNair 🔁
↦ S. Ajayi
64′
L. Herrington 🔁
↦ N. Mendy
64′
67′
🔁 K. Mainoo
↦ Y. Tielemans
67′
🔁 B. Sesko
↦ Andrey Santos
C. Drameh 🔁
↦ L. Coyle
70′
L. Millar 🔁
↦ E. Stroud
71′
80′
🔁 D. Dalot
↦ N. Mazraoui
80′
🔁 S. Lacey
↦ M. Cunha
M. Targett 🔁
↦ R. Giles
85′
Liam Millar 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hull

5-4-1
19 K. Tzolakis G
2 L. Coyle D
6 S. Ajayi D
15 J. Egan D
32 N. Mendy D
3 R. Giles D
10 M. Belloumi M
25 M. Crooks M
27 R. Slater M
21 E. Stroud M
9 O. McBurnie F
Bench (9)
12 D. Phillips
17 P. McNair
18 C. Drameh
23 M. Targett
22 L. Herrington
29 L. Gourna-Douath
26 K. Dowell
14 J. Hjerto-Dahl
7 L. Millar

Coach: Sergej Jakirovic

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 S. Lammens G
3 N. Mazraoui D
5 H. Maguire D
26 A. Heaven D
23 L. Shaw D
18 Y. Tielemans M
17 Andrey Santos M
19 B. Mbeumo M
8 B. Fernandes M
13 P. Dorgu M
10 M. Cunha F
Bench (9)
12 K. Darlow
2 D. Dalot
6 L. Martinez
15 L. Yoro
37 K. Mainoo
11 J. Zirkzee
9 M. Rashford
30 B. Sesko
31 S. Lacey

Coach: Michael Carrick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
8,37
🔒
U
4,93
🔒
B
1,36
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,64
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,20
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.