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Pro League

Referee: Michiel Allaerts

Waregem

S S S S U

4–0

Full-time

Beveren

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Beveren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,62 xG 0,78

38% Possession 62%

17 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waregem 7. · Beveren 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	+4	+2.8	9
2	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.7	6
3	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
4	Gent	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.5	6
5	Standard	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.1	5
6	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
7	Waregem	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
8	St Truiden	3	0	3	0	+0	-1.6	3
9	Genk	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.4	3
10	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
11	Beveren	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.9	3
12	Cercle Brugge	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.0	2
13	Lommel SK	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
14	Lommel United	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.4	1
15	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.3	1
16	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	-4	-3.0	0
17	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.4	0
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.1	0
19	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Standard	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.2	4
2	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.5	3
3	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
4	Gent	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
5	Genk	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.4	3
6	Waregem	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
8	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
9	Beveren	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
10	St Truiden	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
11	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
12	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
13	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
14	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
15	Lommel SK	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Lommel United	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
17	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.4	0
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
19	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.9	6
2	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.0	3
3	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.4	3
4	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
5	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
6	St Truiden	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
7	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
9	Lommel SK	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Lommel United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
11	Waregem	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.4	0
13	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
14	Beveren	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
15	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.8	0
17	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
18	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
19	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.