Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Bundesliga

Referee: Julian Weinberger

Sturm Graz

U T S T S

1–1

Full-time

A. Lustenau

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Sturm Graz A. Lustenau

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,07 xG 0,91

63% Possession 37%

13 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 8

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sturm Graz 4. · A. Lustenau 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	SK Rapid	3	3	0	0	+10	+5.0	9
2	LASK	3	3	0	0	+8	+5.9	9
3	Salzburg	3	2	1	0	+4	+6.5	7
4	Sturm Graz	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.8	7
5	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	1	1	+2	-2.2	4
6	A. Lustenau	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
7	Ried	4	1	1	2	-3	+0.4	4
8	Altach	4	1	0	3	-1	+1.2	3
9	Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	-3	-5.2	3
10	Hartberg	4	1	0	3	-4	-5.3	3
11	Grazer AK	4	1	0	3	-11	-5.3	3
12	Tirol	3	0	1	2	-5	-3.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+9	+4.7	6
2	LASK	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.6	6
3	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	1	0	+3	-0.4	4
4	A. Lustenau	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
5	Altach	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.5	3
6	Grazer AK	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
7	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
8	Sturm Graz	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	Ried	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
10	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.2	1
11	Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	-2	-3.2	0
12	Hartberg	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.2	4
2	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.7	4
3	LASK	1	1	0	0	+2	+3.2	3
4	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
5	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	+0	-3.9	3
6	Austria Vienna	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
7	Ried	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.3	1
8	A. Lustenau	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
9	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
10	Tirol	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
11	Altach	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
12	Grazer AK	3	0	0	3	-12	-6.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.