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Primeira Liga
Referee: Jorge de Sousa
Santa Clara
T T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Tondela
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Tondela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 30%
33%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
24%
41%
Both score Ø 35%
33%
36%
Average goals
1,9
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santa Clara 10. · Tondela 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 21 19 0 2 +39 57
2 Porto 22 18 2 2 +38 56
3 Sp Lisbon 21 12 2 7 +11 38
4 Rio Ave 21 10 5 6 +9 35
5 Famalicao 21 10 5 6 +0 35
6 Sp Braga 21 10 4 7 +8 34
7 Gil Vicente 23 7 9 7 -3 30
8 Guimaraes 21 7 8 6 +11 29
9 Boavista 21 7 7 7 -1 28
10 Santa Clara 21 7 6 8 -5 27
11 Setubal 21 6 8 7 -8 26
12 Vitoria Setubal 21 6 8 7 -8 26
13 Tondela 22 6 7 9 -9 25
14 Moreirense 22 5 9 8 -1 24
15 Maritimo 21 4 10 7 -9 22
16 Belenenses 21 5 3 13 -22 18
17 Pacos Ferreira 21 4 4 13 -16 16
18 Portimonense 21 2 9 10 -15 15
19 Aves 21 4 0 17 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Tondela
33′
🟨 Rúben Fonseca
Anderson Carvalho 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Pepelu
65′
🔁 Ricardo Valente
↦ Rúben Fonseca
Ukra 🔁
↦ Costinha
72′
1–0 João Afonso
73′
81′
🔁 Pité
↦ M. Petković
81′
🔁 Ronan
↦ Jaquité
Cryzan 🔁
↦ Thiago Santana
84′
Diogo Salomão 🔁
↦ Carlos
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-3-1-2
99 Marco Pereira G
4 Fábio Cardoso D
5 João Afonso D
2 Rafael Ramos D
3 Z. Sanusi D
27 Anderson Carvalho M
20 Costinha M
88 Chico Ramos M
17 Lincoln M
14 Thiago Santana F
13 Carlos F
Bench (7)
7 Ukra
23 Cryzan
35 Diogo Salomão
1 André Ferreira
70 Zé Manuel
24 Mamadu Candé
6 Osama Rashid

Coach: João Henriques

Tondela

4-3-3
1 Cláudio Ramos G
2 M. Petković D
34 Ricardo Alves D
17 João Reis D
94 Philipe Sampaio D
8 João Pedro M
14 Pepelu M
70 J. Toro F
5 Jaquité M
7 António Xavier F
29 Rúben Fonseca F
Bench (7)
33 Ricardo Valente
10 Pité
9 Ronan
77 Richard Rodrigues
18 F. Moufi
99 B. Niasse
4 Jota Gonçalves

Coach: Natxo González

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,12
B
3,62
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jorge de Sousa · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.