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Primeira Liga

Referee: Fábio Veríssimo

Rio Ave

S S S U S

1–1

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 53%

48%

57%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

29%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

38%

62%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

15 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rio Ave 5. · Sp Lisbon 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	22	19	0	3	+38	57
2	Porto	22	18	2	2	+38	56
3	Sp Lisbon	21	12	2	7	+11	38
4	Sp Braga	22	11	4	7	+9	37
5	Rio Ave	21	10	5	6	+9	35
6	Famalicao	21	10	5	6	+0	35
7	Gil Vicente	23	7	9	7	-3	30
8	Santa Clara	22	8	6	8	-4	30
9	Guimaraes	21	7	8	6	+11	29
10	Boavista	21	7	7	7	-1	28
11	Setubal	21	6	8	7	-8	26
12	Vitoria Setubal	21	6	8	7	-8	26
13	Moreirense	23	5	10	8	-1	25
14	Tondela	23	6	7	10	-10	25
15	Maritimo	21	4	10	7	-9	22
16	Belenenses	21	5	3	13	-22	18
17	Portimonense	22	2	10	10	-15	16
18	Pacos Ferreira	21	4	4	13	-16	16
19	Aves	21	4	0	17	-19	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	11	10	0	1	+23	30
2	Benfica	12	10	0	2	+22	30
3	Famalicao	11	6	2	3	+3	20
4	Rio Ave	11	5	3	3	+5	18
5	Sp Braga	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Sp Lisbon	10	6	0	4	+3	18
7	Gil Vicente	11	4	6	1	+3	18
8	Guimaraes	10	5	2	3	+9	17
9	Moreirense	11	4	4	3	+2	16
10	Santa Clara	12	4	3	5	-4	15
11	Setubal	11	3	5	3	-4	14
12	Vitoria Setubal	11	3	5	3	-4	14
13	Boavista	10	3	4	3	+0	13
14	Maritimo	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Pacos Ferreira	12	3	2	7	-5	11
16	Belenenses	11	3	1	7	-12	10
17	Aves	10	3	0	7	-4	9
18	Portimonense	10	1	5	4	-4	8
19	Tondela	11	1	4	6	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	10	9	0	1	+16	27
2	Porto	11	8	2	1	+15	26
3	Sp Lisbon	11	6	2	3	+8	20
4	Sp Braga	12	6	1	5	+6	19
5	Tondela	12	5	3	4	+0	18
6	Rio Ave	10	5	2	3	+4	17
7	Santa Clara	10	4	3	3	+0	15
8	Boavista	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Famalicao	10	4	3	3	-3	15
10	Guimaraes	11	2	6	3	+2	12
11	Setubal	10	3	3	4	-4	12
12	Vitoria Setubal	10	3	3	4	-4	12
13	Gil Vicente	12	3	3	6	-6	12
14	Maritimo	11	2	5	4	-7	11
15	Moreirense	12	1	6	5	-3	9
16	Belenenses	10	2	2	6	-10	8
17	Portimonense	12	1	5	6	-11	8
18	Pacos Ferreira	9	1	2	6	-11	5
19	Aves	11	1	0	10	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.