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Ekstraklasa
Cracovia
S T S T S
3–3
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 50%
37%
63%
Points per game
1,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
58%
47%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,9
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Cracovia 9. · Lech Poznan 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 19 12 5 2 +24 41
2 Pogon Szczecin 20 11 7 2 +21 40
3 Rakow 20 11 5 4 +16 38
4 Lechia Gdansk 20 10 6 4 +12 36
5 Radomiak Radom 19 9 8 2 +12 35
6 Gornik Zabrze 20 9 4 7 +2 31
7 Wisla Plock 19 9 2 8 +3 29
8 Stal Mielec 20 7 7 6 -1 28
9 Cracovia 19 7 5 7 -1 26
10 Slask Wroclaw 20 6 6 8 -2 24
11 Jagiellonia 20 6 6 8 -8 24
12 Piast Gliwice 20 6 5 9 -2 23
13 Wisla 20 6 3 11 -11 21
14 Zaglebie 20 6 2 12 -18 20
15 Leczna 20 4 7 9 -17 19
16 Legia 19 6 0 13 -9 18
17 Warta Poznan 20 3 8 9 -10 17
18 Nieciecza 19 3 6 10 -11 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.