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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Betis
T T U S S
0–2
Full-time
Villarreal
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
2,5
3,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,0
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 46%
55%
36%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
55%
50%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
45%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 3. · Villarreal 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 22 15 5 2 +27 50
2 Sevilla 23 13 8 2 +18 47
3 Betis 22 12 4 6 +16 40
4 Barcelona 22 10 8 4 +11 38
5 Ath Madrid 22 10 6 6 +8 36
6 Sociedad 22 9 8 5 +1 35
7 Villarreal 22 8 8 6 +13 32
8 Ath Bilbao 22 7 10 5 +4 31
9 Vallecano 22 9 4 9 +3 31
10 Celta 23 8 6 9 +3 30
11 Valencia 23 7 9 7 -1 30
12 Osasuna 23 7 8 8 -5 29
13 Espanol 22 7 6 9 -4 27
14 Elche 23 6 8 9 -5 26
15 Getafe 23 6 7 10 -3 25
16 Granada 22 5 9 8 -7 24
17 Mallorca 22 5 8 9 -15 23
18 Cadiz 23 3 9 11 -18 18
19 Alaves 23 4 5 14 -21 17
20 Levante 22 1 8 13 -25 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Villarreal
25′
🟨 Samuel Chukwueze
35′
🔁 Manu Trigueros
↦ Gerard Moreno
37′
🟨 Alberto Moreno
41′
Pau Torres 0–1
Alberto Moreno
Half-time 0–1
Rodri 🔁
↦ A. Guardado
59′
Borja Iglesias 🔁
↦ Willian José
59′
63′
🔁 A. Groeneveld
↦ Paco Alcácer
64′
🔁 S. Aurier
↦ J. Foyth
Borja Iglesias ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
69′
71′
🟨 Étienne Capoue
77′
🔁 G. Lo Celso
↦ Alberto Moreno
77′
🔁 Yeremi Pino
↦ S. Chukwueze
83′
E. Capoue 0–2
Manu Trigueros
Aitor Ruibal 🔁
↦ Juanmi
84′
Sergio Canales 🟨
85′
Tello 🔁
↦ N. Fekir
87′
Borja Iglesias 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
5 Marc Bartra D
16 G. Pezzella D
19 Bellerín D
33 Juan Miranda D
18 A. Guardado M
10 Sergio Canales M
21 G. Rodríguez M
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi M
8 N. Fekir M
Bench (11)
28 Rodri
9 Borja Iglesias
24 Aitor Ruibal
11 Tello
23 Y. Sabaly
15 Álex Moreno
20 D. Lainez
6 Víctor Ruíz
3 Edgar González
4 P. Akouokou
1 Joel Robles

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Villarreal

4-4-2
13 G. Rulli G
3 Albiol D
18 Alberto Moreno M
4 Pau Torres D
8 J. Foyth D
6 E. Capoue M
5 Dani Parejo M
24 Pedraza D
9 Paco Alcácer F
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 S. Chukwueze M
Bench (12)
14 Manu Trigueros
15 A. Groeneveld
25 S. Aurier
17 G. Lo Celso
21 Yeremi Pino
1 Asenjo
23 Moi Gómez
10 Iborra
31 Iker Álvarez De Eulate
22 A. Mandi
12 P. Estupiñán
2 Mario Gaspar

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,39
U
3,57
B ✓
2,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.