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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Nantes
T U T T S
0–3
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,5
3,3
Conceded
1,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+3,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 52%
29%
75%
Points per game
1,1
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
71%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
71%
13%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,4
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
6 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 15. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 6 0 2 +17 18
2 Lille 8 5 3 0 +11 18
3 Rennes 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Marseille 8 4 3 1 +3 15
5 Nice 8 4 2 2 +1 14
6 Lyon 8 3 4 1 +6 13
7 Lens 7 4 1 2 +0 13
8 Angers 8 4 1 3 -6 13
9 Bordeaux 8 3 3 2 +4 12
10 Metz 8 3 2 3 +2 11
11 Montpellier 8 3 2 3 +0 11
12 Monaco 8 3 2 3 -2 11
13 St Etienne 8 3 1 4 -3 10
14 Brest 9 3 0 6 -8 9
15 Nantes 7 2 2 3 -1 8
16 Nimes 8 2 2 4 -4 8
17 Lorient 8 2 1 5 -3 7
18 Strasbourg 8 2 0 6 -7 6
19 Reims 8 1 2 5 -3 5
20 Dijon 8 0 2 6 -14 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Paris SG
K. Bamba 🔁
↦ M. Simon
25′
Ludovic Blas 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Ruiz-Atil
↦ M. Kean
47′
Ander Herrera 0–1
K. Mbappé
65′
K. Mbappé 0–2
66′
🔁 Marquinhos
↦ I. Gueye
66′
🔁 T. Kehrer
↦ Danilo Pereira
Marcus Coco 🟨
67′
J. Augustin 🔁
↦ M. Coco
73′
A. Touré 🔁
↦ Chirivella
73′
74′
🔁 B. Fadiga
↦ K. Mbappé
74′
🔁 L. Kurzawa
↦ Rafinha
80′
🟨 Colin Dagba
R. Pereira de Sa 🔁
↦ L. Blas
84′
88′
Pablo Sarabia 0–3
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lafont G
12 D. Appiah D
21 J. Castelletto D
14 C. Traoré D
8 M. Abeid D
5 Chirivella M
11 M. Coco M
10 L. Blas M
26 I. Louza M
27 M. Simon M
23 R. Kolo F
Bench (9)
32 K. Bamba
20 J. Augustin
19 A. Touré
6 R. Pereira de Sa
15 T. Basila
28 R. Emond
33 A. Walongwa
22 B. Ndilu
30 D. Petrić

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 K. Navas G
22 A. Diallo D
31 C. Dagba D
25 M. Bakker D
21 Ander Herrera M
27 I. Gueye M
19 Pablo Sarabia F
15 Danilo Pereira D
12 Rafinha M
7 K. Mbappé F
18 M. Kean F
Bench (9)
36 K. Ruiz-Atil
5 Marquinhos
4 T. Kehrer
37 B. Fadiga
20 L. Kurzawa
16 Sergio Rico
3 P. Kimpembe
60 M. Randriamamy
32 T. Pembele

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,27
U
4,92
B ✓
1,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.