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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof

Groningen

U S U S T

1–0

Full-time

Vitesse

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 43%

38%

48%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 48%

43%

52%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 9. · Vitesse 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	21	16	2	3	+43	50
2	AZ Alkmaar	21	15	2	4	+31	47
3	Feyenoord	21	11	7	3	+11	40
4	Willem II	21	12	4	5	+8	40
5	PSV Eindhoven	21	10	6	5	+18	36
6	Vitesse	21	10	5	6	+10	35
7	Utrecht	21	10	4	7	+12	34
8	Heracles	22	8	5	9	+4	29
9	Groningen	21	8	5	8	+3	29
10	Heerenveen	21	7	7	7	+3	28
11	Sparta Rotterdam	21	6	6	9	-6	24
12	Twente	21	6	6	9	-9	24
13	For Sittard	22	6	5	11	-22	23
14	FC Emmen	21	6	4	11	-16	22
15	Zwolle	21	6	3	12	-16	21
16	VVV Venlo	21	6	2	13	-26	20
17	Den Haag	21	4	5	12	-20	17
18	Waalwijk	21	3	2	16	-28	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	10	0	1	+31	30
2	AZ Alkmaar	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+11	24
4	PSV Eindhoven	10	7	2	1	+17	23
5	Willem II	11	6	3	2	+6	21
6	FC Emmen	10	6	2	2	+7	20
7	For Sittard	11	6	2	3	+5	20
8	Heracles	11	6	1	4	+11	19
9	Groningen	10	6	1	3	+8	19
10	Utrecht	10	6	0	4	+13	18
11	Sparta Rotterdam	10	5	3	2	+9	18
12	Vitesse	10	5	3	2	+7	18
13	Heerenveen	11	3	6	2	+1	15
14	Twente	11	4	3	4	+0	15
15	Zwolle	10	4	2	4	-2	14
16	VVV Venlo	11	4	2	5	-8	14
17	Den Haag	11	2	5	4	-3	11
18	Waalwijk	10	2	1	7	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	1	2	+13	22
2	Ajax	10	6	2	2	+12	20
3	Willem II	10	6	1	3	+2	19
4	Vitesse	11	5	2	4	+3	17
5	Feyenoord	10	4	4	2	+0	16
6	Utrecht	11	4	4	3	-1	16
7	Heerenveen	10	4	1	5	+2	13
8	PSV Eindhoven	11	3	4	4	+1	13
9	Groningen	11	2	4	5	-5	10
10	Heracles	11	2	4	5	-7	10
11	Twente	10	2	3	5	-9	9
12	Zwolle	11	2	1	8	-14	7
13	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	3	7	-15	6
14	Den Haag	10	2	0	8	-17	6
15	VVV Venlo	10	2	0	8	-18	6
16	Waalwijk	11	1	1	9	-21	4
17	For Sittard	11	0	3	8	-27	3
18	FC Emmen	11	0	2	9	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.