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Eredivisie

Referee: B Kuipers

Heracles

S U T S T

4–0

Full-time

VVV Venlo

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,3

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 29%

37%

20%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

57%

73%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

70%

Average goals

2,7

3,9

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 16

10 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 5

5 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 8. · VVV Venlo 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	30	24	4	2	+68	76
2	PSV Eindhoven	30	19	7	4	+35	64
3	AZ Alkmaar	30	18	7	5	+26	61
4	Vitesse	30	17	6	7	+18	57
5	Feyenoord	28	15	8	5	+29	53
6	Utrecht	28	12	9	7	+10	45
7	Groningen	29	13	6	10	+1	45
8	Heracles	30	11	6	13	-10	39
9	Twente	30	9	10	11	+1	37
10	Heerenveen	30	9	10	11	-3	37
11	For Sittard	30	11	4	15	-9	37
12	Sparta Rotterdam	29	10	6	13	-4	36
13	Zwolle	30	8	11	11	-6	35
14	Waalwijk	30	6	8	16	-18	26
15	Willem II	30	6	7	17	-29	25
16	FC Emmen	30	5	9	16	-26	24
17	VVV Venlo	30	6	4	20	-38	22
18	Den Haag	30	2	10	18	-45	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+33	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	12	2	1	+24	38
3	Vitesse	15	10	4	1	+15	34
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	10	2	3	+15	32
5	Feyenoord	13	8	4	1	+22	28
6	Groningen	15	7	5	3	+5	26
7	Heracles	15	7	3	5	+9	24
8	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	+5	22
9	Zwolle	15	5	6	4	+1	21
10	Utrecht	14	5	5	4	+1	20
11	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	3	7	+0	18
12	Willem II	15	5	2	8	-10	17
13	Waalwijk	15	4	4	7	-3	16
14	Twente	15	3	5	7	-3	14
15	For Sittard	15	4	2	9	-9	14
16	FC Emmen	15	3	4	8	-13	13
17	VVV Venlo	15	3	3	9	-22	12
18	Den Haag	15	0	6	9	-19	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+35	38
2	AZ Alkmaar	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	PSV Eindhoven	15	7	5	3	+11	26
4	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+9	25
5	Feyenoord	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Twente	15	6	5	4	+4	23
7	Vitesse	15	7	2	6	+3	23
8	For Sittard	15	7	2	6	+0	23
9	Groningen	14	6	1	7	-4	19
10	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	3	6	-4	18
11	Heerenveen	15	3	6	6	-8	15
12	Heracles	15	4	3	8	-19	15
13	Zwolle	15	3	5	7	-7	14
14	FC Emmen	15	2	5	8	-13	11
15	Waalwijk	15	2	4	9	-15	10
16	VVV Venlo	15	3	1	11	-16	10
17	Den Haag	15	2	4	9	-26	10
18	Willem II	15	1	5	9	-19	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.