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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Eibar
T T T T T
3–0
Full-time
Alaves
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 17%
12%
21%
Points per game
0,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
33%
42%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 20. · Alaves 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 33 22 7 4 +38 73
2 Barcelona 33 22 5 6 +46 71
3 Real Madrid 33 21 8 4 +32 71
4 Sevilla 33 22 4 7 +23 70
5 Sociedad 33 14 11 8 +17 53
6 Betis 33 14 8 11 -3 50
7 Villarreal 33 12 13 8 +12 49
8 Granada 33 13 6 14 -11 45
9 Celta 34 11 11 12 -5 44
10 Ath Bilbao 33 10 12 11 +7 42
11 Osasuna 33 10 10 13 -8 40
12 Levante 34 9 11 14 -10 38
13 Cadiz 33 9 10 14 -21 37
14 Valencia 33 8 12 13 -7 36
15 Getafe 33 8 10 15 -13 34
16 Alaves 33 7 10 16 -21 31
17 Valladolid 33 5 15 13 -14 30
18 Elche 33 6 12 15 -20 30
19 Huesca 33 5 12 16 -19 27
20 Eibar 33 4 11 18 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Alaves
1–0 Kike
Bryan Gil
3′
44′
🟨 Tomás Pina
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Kike
Edu Expósito
50′
Rafa 🔁
↦ Cote
54′
56′
🟨 Rodrigo Battaglia
56′
🔁 Luis Rioja
↦ Edgar Méndez
56′
🔁 Pere Pons
↦ Pina
3–0 Kike
Rafa
59′
63′
🔁 Borja Sainz
↦ Jota Peleteiro
63′
🔁 J. Guidetti
↦ Lucas Pérez
80′
🔁 Deyverson
↦ Joselu
Y. Muto 🔁
↦ Kike
82′
T. Inui 🔁
↦ Bryan Gil
82′
Sergio Álvarez 🔁
↦ Rober Correa
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-4-2
1 M. Dmitrović G
23 Arbilla D
15 Cote D
4 Paulo Oliveira D
20 Rober Correa D
8 P. Diop M
33 Miguel Atienza M
10 Edu Expósito M
17 Kike F
9 Sergi Enrich F
25 Bryan Gil M
Bench (12)
11 Rafa
12 Y. Muto
14 T. Inui
6 Sergio Álvarez
24 Kévin Rodrigues
7 Quique González
19 Aleix García
13 Yoel
21 Pedro León
29 Unai Dufur
32 Unai Arieta
2 E. Burgos

Coach: Mendilibar

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
22 F. Lejeune D
23 Ximo Navarro D
21 Martín Aguirregabiria D
16 Edgar Méndez M
8 Pina M
24 Jota Peleteiro M
6 R. Battaglia M
9 Joselu F
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (10)
11 Luis Rioja
20 Pere Pons
29 Borja Sainz
10 J. Guidetti
14 Deyverson
40 Robert Vallribera
38 Hugo Pérez
2 Alberto Rodríguez
19 Manu García
13 Sivera

Coach: Javi Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,51
U
3,11
B
3,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,45
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.