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Premier League
Referee: D Coote
0–2
Full-time
Man City
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
This season — Premier League · 32/33 matches
Win Ø 52%
31%
73%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
45%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
42%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%
9 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 13. · Man City 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 33 24 5 4 +45 77
2 Man United 33 19 10 4 +29 67
3 Leicester 34 19 6 9 +22 63
4 Chelsea 33 16 10 7 +20 58
5 West Ham 33 16 7 10 +10 55
6 Liverpool 33 15 9 9 +16 54
7 Tottenham 33 15 8 10 +18 53
8 Everton 32 15 7 10 +4 52
9 Leeds 33 14 5 14 +0 47
10 Arsenal 33 13 7 13 +7 46
11 Aston Villa 32 13 6 13 +9 45
12 Wolves 33 11 8 14 -13 41
13 Crystal Palace 32 10 8 14 -20 38
14 Southampton 33 10 7 16 -18 37
15 Burnley 33 9 9 15 -15 36
16 Newcastle 33 9 9 15 -18 36
17 Brighton 33 7 13 13 -6 34
18 Fulham 33 5 12 16 -18 27
19 West Brom 33 5 10 18 -34 25
20 Sheffield United 33 5 2 26 -38 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Man City
36′
ℹ️ Gabriel Jesus
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Half-time 0–0
Luka Milivojević 🟨
49′
57′
S. Agüero 0–1
B. Mendy
59′
Ferran Torres 0–2
J. Schlupp 🔁
↦ J. Riedewald
60′
67′
🔁 O. Zinchenko
↦ Fernandinho
J. Mateta 🔁
↦ C. Benteke
68′
Cheikhou Kouyaté 🟨
81′
J. Ayew 🔁
↦ A. Townsend
82′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

4-3-3
31 Guaita G
6 S. Dann D
2 J. Ward D
27 T. Mitchell D
8 C. Kouyaté D
10 A. Townsend F
4 L. Milivojević M
44 J. Riedewald M
25 E. Eze M
20 C. Benteke F
11 W. Zaha F
Bench (9)
15 J. Schlupp
14 J. Mateta
9 J. Ayew
34 M. Kelly
23 M. Batshuayi
3 P. van Aanholt
1 J. Butland
24 G. Cahill
22 J. McCarthy

Coach: R. Hodgson

Man City

4-4-1-1
31 Ederson Moraes G
27 João Cancelo D
22 B. Mendy D
14 A. Laporte D
6 N. Aké D
25 Fernandinho M
16 Rodri M
10 S. Agüero F
7 R. Sterling M
9 Gabriel Jesus F
21 Ferran Torres M
Bench (9)
11 O. Zinchenko
3 Rúben Dias
8 İ. Gündoğan
13 Z. Steffen
20 Bernardo Silva
47 P. Foden
26 R. Mahrez
17 K. De Bruyne
2 K. Walker

Coach: Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,10
U
5,14
B ✓
1,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Coote · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.