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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

PSV Eindhoven

S S T T S

3–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

2,3

0,3

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 22/21 matches

Win Ø 53%

73%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

77%

38%

Both score Ø 56%

64%

48%

Average goals

3,7

2,2

Scored

2,5

0,9

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 4

7 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 3. · Heerenveen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	23	18	3	2	+65	57
2	Feyenoord	23	16	3	4	+35	51
3	PSV Eindhoven	22	16	1	5	+26	49
4	Twente	23	12	6	5	+7	42
5	AZ Alkmaar	21	13	2	6	+16	41
6	Utrecht	21	10	5	6	+11	35
7	Vitesse	20	10	2	8	-10	32
8	Nijmegen	23	8	7	8	-4	31
9	Cambuur	23	9	3	11	-11	30
10	Groningen	23	6	8	9	-6	26
11	Heerenveen	21	7	4	10	-9	25
12	Heracles	23	6	5	12	-8	23
13	Waalwijk	23	5	8	10	-12	23
14	Go Ahead Eagles	23	6	5	12	-16	23
15	Willem II	23	6	3	14	-21	21
16	For Sittard	22	5	4	13	-26	19
17	Sparta Rotterdam	22	3	8	11	-18	17
18	Zwolle	23	4	5	14	-19	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	9	1	2	+43	28
2	Feyenoord	12	9	1	2	+20	28
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	8	2	1	+15	26
4	Utrecht	11	7	3	1	+14	24
5	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	0	3	+13	24
6	Twente	11	6	4	1	+9	22
7	Heracles	12	6	3	3	+4	21
8	Cambuur	11	4	1	6	-4	13
9	Willem II	12	4	1	7	-8	13
10	Waalwijk	11	4	1	6	-9	13
11	Groningen	11	2	6	3	+0	12
12	Go Ahead Eagles	11	4	0	7	-5	12
13	Heerenveen	11	3	2	6	-6	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	5	5	-7	11
15	For Sittard	10	3	2	5	-10	11
16	Nijmegen	11	2	4	5	-4	10
17	Zwolle	12	2	4	6	-5	10
18	Vitesse	9	3	1	5	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	2	0	+22	29
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	1	2	+13	25
3	Feyenoord	11	7	2	2	+15	23
4	Vitesse	11	7	1	3	+1	22
5	Nijmegen	12	6	3	3	+0	21
6	Twente	12	6	2	4	-2	20
7	Cambuur	12	5	2	5	-7	17
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	0	5	+1	15
9	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	-3	14
10	Groningen	12	4	2	6	-6	14
11	Utrecht	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Go Ahead Eagles	12	2	5	5	-11	11
13	Waalwijk	12	1	7	4	-3	10
14	Willem II	11	2	2	7	-13	8
15	For Sittard	12	2	2	8	-16	8
16	Zwolle	11	2	1	8	-14	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	3	6	-11	6
18	Heracles	11	0	2	9	-12	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.