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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
Heracles
U T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Twente
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 45%
30%
60%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
40%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

34% Possession 66%
7 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 12. · Twente 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 31 25 3 3 +74 78
2 PSV Eindhoven 30 23 2 5 +40 71
3 Feyenoord 30 20 4 6 +40 64
4 Twente 30 18 7 5 +15 61
5 AZ Alkmaar 26 15 3 8 +17 48
6 Utrecht 29 12 8 9 +9 44
7 Vitesse 26 12 3 11 -9 39
8 Groningen 30 9 9 12 -7 36
9 Go Ahead Eagles 30 10 6 14 -9 36
10 Nijmegen 31 9 8 14 -13 35
11 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 -8 34
12 Heracles 30 9 6 15 -10 33
13 Cambuur 30 10 3 17 -18 33
14 For Sittard 30 8 5 17 -30 29
15 Waalwijk 30 6 10 14 -17 28
16 Zwolle 31 7 5 19 -23 26
17 Willem II 30 7 5 18 -28 26
18 Sparta Rotterdam 30 5 10 15 -23 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Twente
Anas Ouahim ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
15′
Anas Ouahim 🟥
16′
23′
ℹ️ Ricky van Wolfswinkel
VAR: Goal cancelled
1–0 N. Fadiga
E. Hansson
36′
40′
🟨 Julio Pleguezuelo
Nikolai Laursen 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 V. Černý
↦ V. Misidjan
46′
🔁 M. Hilgers
↦ Julio Pleguezuelo
Noah Fadiga 🟨
47′
48′
G. Smal 1–1
B. Başacıkoğlu 🔁
↦ E. Hansson
72′
K. Jakobsen 🔁
↦ N. Laursen
72′
S. Armenteros 🔁
↦ S. Bakış
72′
74′
🟨 Joshua Brenet
77′
🔁 M. Ugalde
↦ M. Vlap
77′
🔁 G. Troupée
↦ J. Brenet
M. Knoester 🔁
↦ G. Quagliata
78′
M. İbrahimoğlu 🔁
↦ L. de la Torre
78′
87′
🔁 D. Cleonise
↦ D. Limnios
95′
🟨 Ricky van Wolfswinkel
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-4-2
26 K. Bucker G
21 J. Hoogma D
5 M. Rente D
23 N. Fadiga D
3 G. Quagliata D
15 L. Schoofs M
30 A. Ouahim F
14 L. de la Torre M
9 S. Bakış F
29 E. Hansson M
11 N. Laursen M
Bench (12)
7 B. Başacıkoğlu
20 K. Jakobsen
33 S. Armenteros
13 M. Knoester
27 M. İbrahimoğlu
19 N. Bakboord
8 E. Sierra
17 A. Szőke
4 S. Sonnenberg
12 R. Roosken
36 T. Jansink
28 R. Jalving

Coach: F. Wormuth

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
3 R. Pröpper D
20 J. Brenet D
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
5 G. Smal D
23 M. Sadílek M
18 D. Limnios M
14 M. Vlap M
19 R. Zerrouki M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
10 V. Misidjan M
Bench (10)
7 V. Černý
35 M. Hilgers
27 M. Ugalde
2 G. Troupée
26 D. Cleonise
22 J. de Lange
32 J. Bosch
38 M. Bruns
42 S. Karssies
40 C. Staring

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,30
U ✓
3,35
B
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.