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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

Groningen

U S U S S

1–3

Full-time

Ajax

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,7

2,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 56%

33%

78%

Points per game

1,3

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

41%

67%

Both score Ø 45%

63%

26%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

1,3

3,0

Conceded

1,4

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%

8 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 7. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	27	21	3	3	+67	66
2	PSV Eindhoven	27	21	1	5	+37	64
3	Feyenoord	27	17	4	6	+34	55
4	Twente	27	16	6	5	+11	54
5	AZ Alkmaar	25	15	3	7	+18	48
6	Utrecht	25	11	6	8	+9	39
7	Groningen	27	9	9	9	-2	36
8	Vitesse	23	11	3	9	-8	36
9	Cambuur	27	10	3	14	-15	33
10	Nijmegen	27	8	8	11	-10	32
11	Heerenveen	26	8	6	12	-10	30
12	Go Ahead Eagles	27	8	6	13	-13	30
13	Heracles	27	7	6	14	-10	27
14	Waalwijk	27	6	9	12	-13	27
15	Willem II	27	6	5	16	-23	23
16	For Sittard	26	6	4	16	-32	22
17	Sparta Rotterdam	25	4	9	12	-18	21
18	Zwolle	27	5	5	17	-22	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	1	2	+45	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	11	0	3	+22	33
3	Feyenoord	13	9	2	2	+20	29
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	2	2	+15	29
5	Twente	13	8	4	1	+11	28
6	Heracles	14	7	4	3	+6	25
7	Utrecht	13	7	3	3	+11	24
8	Go Ahead Eagles	14	6	1	7	-1	19
9	Groningen	13	4	6	3	+2	18
10	Cambuur	13	5	1	7	-4	16
11	Willem II	14	4	3	7	-8	15
12	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-5	14
13	Sparta Rotterdam	14	3	5	6	-7	14
14	For Sittard	12	4	2	6	-10	14
15	Waalwijk	13	4	2	7	-10	14
16	Vitesse	11	4	1	6	-9	13
17	Nijmegen	13	2	5	6	-6	11
18	Zwolle	13	2	4	7	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+22	32
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	1	2	+15	31
3	Feyenoord	14	8	2	4	+14	26
4	Twente	14	8	2	4	+0	26
5	Vitesse	12	7	2	3	+1	23
6	Nijmegen	14	6	3	5	-4	21
7	AZ Alkmaar	12	6	1	5	+3	19
8	Groningen	14	5	3	6	-4	18
9	Cambuur	14	5	2	7	-11	17
10	Heerenveen	13	4	4	5	-5	16
11	Utrecht	12	4	3	5	-2	15
12	Waalwijk	14	2	7	5	-3	13
13	Go Ahead Eagles	13	2	5	6	-12	11
14	Zwolle	14	3	1	10	-16	10
15	Willem II	13	2	2	9	-15	8
16	For Sittard	14	2	2	10	-22	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	4	6	-11	7
18	Heracles	13	0	2	11	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.