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Super League

AEK

S T U S S

3–1

Full-time

Aris

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Super League · 31/29 matches

Win Ø 58%

74%

41%

Points per game

2,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

45%

55%

Both score Ø 31%

23%

38%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

1,9

1,4

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

18 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 1

4 Corners 0

19 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 2. · Aris 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	32	23	6	3	+30	75
2	AEK	31	23	3	5	+44	72
3	Olympiakos	32	19	10	3	+44	67
4	PAOK	32	18	10	4	+28	64
5	Volos NFC	31	12	7	12	-12	43
6	Aris Thessalonikis	29	12	5	12	+12	41
7	Aris	29	12	5	12	+12	41
8	Atromitos	31	8	11	12	-3	35
9	OFI Crete	31	8	10	13	-10	34
10	Panetolikos	31	8	8	15	-15	32
11	Asteras Tripolis	31	5	13	13	-17	28
12	Ionikos	31	7	6	18	-26	27
13	Lamia	31	5	11	15	-35	26
14	Giannina	31	4	12	15	-26	24
15	Levadeiakos	31	4	11	16	-26	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	11	5	1	+28	38
2	AEK	15	12	1	2	+26	37
3	Panathinaikos	15	11	3	1	+14	36
4	PAOK	15	10	3	2	+17	33
5	Aris Thessalonikis	15	9	2	4	+15	29
6	Aris	15	9	2	4	+15	29
7	Atromitos	16	6	7	3	+5	25
8	Asteras Tripolis	16	5	8	3	+3	23
9	Volos NFC	16	6	2	8	-10	20
10	Ionikos	15	4	5	6	-8	17
11	Levadeiakos	15	3	7	5	-5	16
12	Panetolikos	16	4	4	8	-8	16
13	Lamia	15	4	4	7	-13	16
14	Giannina	15	3	6	6	-11	15
15	OFI Crete	16	3	5	8	-11	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	17	12	3	2	+16	39
2	AEK	16	11	2	3	+18	35
3	PAOK	17	8	7	2	+11	31
4	Olympiakos	15	8	5	2	+16	29
5	Volos NFC	15	6	5	4	-2	23
6	OFI Crete	15	5	5	5	+1	20
7	Panetolikos	15	4	4	7	-7	16
8	Aris Thessalonikis	14	3	3	8	-3	12
9	Aris	14	3	3	8	-3	12
10	Atromitos	15	2	4	9	-8	10
11	Ionikos	16	3	1	12	-18	10
12	Lamia	16	1	7	8	-22	10
13	Giannina	16	1	6	9	-15	9
14	Levadeiakos	16	1	4	11	-21	7
15	Asteras Tripolis	15	0	5	10	-20	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.