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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Cartagena
S T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Mirandes
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Mirandes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 35%
41%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
50%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 7. · Mirandes 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 35 18 11 6 +12 65
2 Las Palmas 34 16 14 4 +18 62
3 Granada 35 18 7 10 +19 61
4 Levante 35 15 16 4 +14 61
5 Alaves 34 17 9 8 +14 60
6 Albacete 35 13 13 9 +2 52
7 Cartagena 34 14 8 12 +4 50
8 Burgos 35 12 13 10 +3 49
9 Huesca 35 10 16 9 +2 46
10 Villarreal B 35 12 10 13 -3 46
11 Andorra 34 12 8 14 +5 44
12 Sp Gijon 35 10 14 11 -1 44
13 Zaragoza 35 10 14 11 -2 44
14 Tenerife 35 10 13 12 -1 43
15 Mirandes 34 10 12 12 -3 42
16 Santander 35 10 11 14 -2 41
17 Oviedo 34 10 10 14 -6 40
18 Leganes 34 10 10 14 -7 40
19 Ponferradina 34 7 14 13 -13 35
20 Malaga 35 7 12 16 -9 33
21 Ibiza 35 6 11 18 -23 29
22 Lugo 35 5 12 18 -23 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Mirandes
Damián Musto 🟨
36′
38′
🟨 Beñat Prados
Half-time 0–0
Franchu 🟨
55′
Alcalá 🔁
↦ Kiko Olivas
59′
Alfredo Ortuño 🔁
↦ F. Feuillassier
59′
1–0 Alfredo Ortuño
D. Musto
67′
71′
🔁 Roberto López
↦ Álvaro Sanz
72′
🔁 Nico Serrano
↦ Jofre Carreras
Y. Eteki 🔁
↦ D. Musto
77′
Yan Eteki 🟨
78′
80′
🔁 Javier Llabrés
↦ Óscar Pinchi
80′
🔁 Simón Moreno
↦ Beñat Prados
Darío Poveda 🔁
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
86′
David Ferreiro 🔁
↦ Borja Valle
86′
88′
🟨 Álex Martín
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-3-3
13 Aarón Escandell G
16 Iván Calero D
21 Kiko Olivas D
6 T. Datković D
3 Iván Martos D
23 Pêpê Rodrigues M
18 D. Musto M
8 P. De Blasis M
20 Jairo Izquierdo F
10 Borja Valle F
14 F. Feuillassier F
Bench (12)
4 Alcalá
9 Alfredo Ortuño
22 Y. Eteki
11 Darío Poveda
7 David Ferreiro
33 Carlos Sánchez
1 Marc Martínez
5 Pablo Vázquez
15 Sangalli
19 A. Sadiku
17 Mikel Rico
24 I. Jansson

Coach: Luis Carrión

Mirandes

3-4-3
13 Alfonso Herrero G
6 Beñat Prados D
4 Álex Martín D
3 Barbu D
8 Juanlu Sánchez M
18 Álvaro Sanz M
20 Oriol Rey M
12 José Salinas M
22 Jofre Carreras F
9 Raúl García F
14 Óscar Pinchi F
Bench (8)
21 Roberto López
7 Nico Serrano
28 Javier Llabrés
11 Simón Moreno
25 Ž. Frelih
27 N. Michelis
23 David Vicente
19 Manu García

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,88
U
3,28
B
4,31
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.