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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gözübüyük

Waalwijk

T S S T T

1–0

Full-time

Vitesse

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 25/26 matches

Win Ø 26%

32%

19%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

64%

62%

Both score Ø 61%

64%

58%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 2

6 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 8. · Vitesse 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	26	18	7	1	+34	61
2	PSV Eindhoven	27	17	5	5	+38	56
3	Ajax	26	16	7	3	+44	55
4	AZ Alkmaar	27	16	6	5	+22	54
5	Twente	24	13	7	4	+23	46
6	Sparta Rotterdam	23	13	6	4	+19	45
7	Nijmegen	27	7	13	7	+7	34
8	Waalwijk	25	8	8	9	+0	32
9	Utrecht	24	8	8	8	-4	32
10	Heerenveen	25	8	7	10	-6	31
11	Go Ahead Eagles	25	7	8	10	-8	29
12	For Sittard	26	8	5	13	-14	29
13	Volendam	26	7	5	14	-25	26
14	Vitesse	26	5	9	12	-16	24
15	FC Emmen	27	5	9	13	-21	24
16	Excelsior	27	7	3	17	-36	24
17	Groningen	26	4	5	17	-27	17
18	Cambuur	27	4	4	19	-30	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	11	1	1	+32	34
2	Twente	12	10	2	0	+25	32
3	Feyenoord	13	9	4	0	+19	31
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	5	1	+11	26
5	Ajax	13	7	4	2	+25	25
6	Sparta Rotterdam	11	8	1	2	+13	25
7	Waalwijk	13	6	3	4	+8	21
8	Excelsior	14	6	2	6	-6	20
9	Volendam	13	6	1	6	-6	19
10	Nijmegen	14	3	9	2	+7	18
11	FC Emmen	14	3	8	3	-2	17
12	Go Ahead Eagles	12	4	4	4	-1	16
13	Utrecht	12	4	4	4	-1	16
14	Groningen	13	3	3	7	-6	12
15	For Sittard	13	3	3	7	-8	12
16	Heerenveen	12	3	2	7	-8	11
17	Vitesse	13	2	5	6	-11	11
18	Cambuur	14	2	0	12	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	9	3	1	+19	30
2	Feyenoord	13	9	3	1	+15	30
3	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	1	4	+11	28
4	PSV Eindhoven	14	6	4	4	+6	22
5	Sparta Rotterdam	12	5	5	2	+6	20
6	Heerenveen	13	5	5	3	+2	20
7	For Sittard	13	5	2	6	-6	17
8	Nijmegen	13	4	4	5	+0	16
9	Utrecht	12	4	4	4	-3	16
10	Twente	12	3	5	4	-2	14
11	Vitesse	13	3	4	6	-5	13
12	Go Ahead Eagles	13	3	4	6	-7	13
13	Waalwijk	12	2	5	5	-8	11
14	Cambuur	13	2	4	7	-13	10
15	Volendam	13	1	4	8	-19	7
16	FC Emmen	13	2	1	10	-19	7
17	Groningen	13	1	2	10	-21	5
18	Excelsior	13	1	1	11	-30	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.