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2. Bundesliga
Referee: N Winter
Hansa Rostock
T T U T T
2–3
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hansa Rostock Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
27%
31%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
35%
65%
Both score Ø 56%
31%
81%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

48% Possession 52%
19 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 7
9 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hansa Rostock 17. · Holstein Kiel 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 26 16 7 3 +20 55
2 Hamburg 27 16 5 6 +21 53
3 Heidenheim 27 14 9 4 +22 51
4 St Pauli 27 13 8 6 +13 47
5 Paderborn 26 13 4 9 +18 43
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 13 4 9 +11 43
7 Kaiserslautern 27 10 10 7 +4 40
8 Karlsruhe 27 10 6 11 +1 36
9 Holstein Kiel 26 8 10 8 +0 34
10 Hannover 27 9 7 11 -3 34
11 Magdeburg 26 9 4 13 -11 31
12 Greuther Furth 26 7 9 10 -5 30
13 Nurnberg 27 8 6 13 -16 30
14 Braunschweig 27 7 8 12 -12 29
15 Bielefeld 26 8 4 14 -4 28
16 Regensburg 26 7 5 14 -16 26
17 Hansa Rostock 26 7 4 15 -19 25
18 Sandhausen 26 5 6 15 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hansa Rostock Holstein Kiel
1–0 R. van Drongelen
12′
17′
🟨 Hauke Wahl
44′
F. Reese 1–1
S. Skrzybski
Half-time 1–2
47′
P. Sander 1–2
T. Becker
47′
L. Holtby 1–3
2–3 L. Hinterseer
L. Fröde
53′
64′
🔁 K. Okyere Wriedt
↦ H. Friðjónsson
Lee Dong-Gyeong 🔁
↦ H. Duljević
67′
70′
🔁 M. Schulz
↦ S. Skrzybski
M. Schröter 🔁
↦ N. Neidhart
80′
N. Fröling 🔁
↦ K. Schumacher
80′
83′
🔁 F. Bartels
↦ F. Reese
83′
🔁 F. Porath
↦ L. Holtby
Rick Van Drongelen 🟨
84′
L. Köster 🔁
↦ L. Fröde
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Hansa Rostock

4-2-2-2
1 M. Kolke G
7 N. Neidhart D
16 R. Malone D
5 R. van Drongelen D
4 D. Roßbach D
34 L. Fröde M
6 D. Dressel M
10 H. Duljević M
13 K. Schumacher M
19 K. Pröger F
22 L. Hinterseer F
Bench (9)
17 Lee Dong-Gyeong
11 M. Schröter
15 N. Fröling
37 L. Köster
25 T. Meißner
24 J. Strauß
8 S. Rhein
30 M. Hagemoser
20 L. Scherff

Coach: A. Schwartz

Holstein Kiel

4-3-3
35 R. Himmelmann G
17 T. Becker D
24 H. Wahl D
19 S. Lorenz D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
4 P. Erras M
10 L. Holtby M
16 P. Sander M
7 S. Skrzybski F
36 H. Friðjónsson F
11 F. Reese F
Bench (8)
18 K. Okyere Wriedt
25 M. Schulz
31 F. Bartels
27 F. Porath
8 A. Mühling
33 T. Weiner
5 S. Thesker
20 J. Arp

Coach: M. Rapp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
U
3,29
B ✓
2,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,92
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Winter · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.