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Superligaen
Referee: Aydin Uslu
Viborg
U U T S S
0–1
Full-time
Aarhus
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Superligaen · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 46%
48%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
57%
30%
Both score Ø 55%
61%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viborg 3. · Aarhus 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 23 14 3 6 +24 45
2 Nordsjaelland 23 12 7 4 +17 43
3 Viborg 23 11 7 5 +10 40
4 Aarhus 23 10 6 7 +6 36
5 Randers FC 23 8 9 6 -2 33
6 Midtjylland 23 7 10 6 +5 31
7 Silkeborg 23 8 6 9 -1 30
8 Brondby 23 8 6 9 -5 30
9 Odense 23 7 7 9 -13 28
10 Horsens 23 6 5 12 -15 23
11 Aalborg 23 4 6 13 -11 18
12 Lyngby 23 3 8 12 -15 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viborg Aarhus
19′
🟨 Kevin Yakob
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Haugen
↦ P. Bjur
47′
Kevin Yakob 0–1
Jeppe Grønning 🟨
58′
M. Søndergaard 🔁
↦ J. Bonde
68′
M. Westergaard 🔁
↦ I. Said
68′
68′
🔁 E. Kahl
↦ G. Links
77′
🔁 F. Brandhof
↦ Kevin Yakob
Paulinho 🔁
↦ Renato Júnior
80′
92′
🟨 Mikael Anderson
93′
🔁 M. Duelund
↦ S. Haugen
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Viborg

4-3-3
1 L. Lund G
2 A. Gaaei D
4 N. Bürgy D
5 Ž. Zaletel D
24 D. Anyembe D
17 J. Bonde M
13 J. Grønning M
14 C. Leemans M
30 I. Said F
11 Renato Júnior F
7 E. Achouri F
Bench (9)
6 M. Søndergaard
28 M. Westergaard
29 Paulinho
19 J. Žambůrek
37 J. Nielsen
23 O. Bundgaard
10 Nils Mortimer
21 S. Berger
16 M. Andersen

Coach: J. Friis

Aarhus

3-4-3
1 J. Hansen G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
2 F. Beijmo M
17 Kevin Yakob M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
11 G. Links M
21 P. Bjur F
9 P. Mortensen F
8 M. Anderson F
Bench (9)
10 S. Haugen
19 E. Kahl
29 F. Brandhof
20 M. Duelund
43 D. Herrington
42 J. Andersen
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
41 M. Sauer
28 A. Daghim

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Aydin Uslu · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.