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Eredivisie

Referee: E van de Graaf

Ajax

S S T U S

4–0

Full-time

For Sittard

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 46%

59%

33%

Points per game

2,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

67%

63%

Both score Ø 65%

67%

63%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

70% Possession 30%

31 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 1

14 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

17 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 4

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 3. · For Sittard 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	27	19	7	1	+36	64
2	PSV Eindhoven	28	18	5	5	+42	59
3	Ajax	27	16	8	3	+44	56
4	AZ Alkmaar	28	16	6	6	+21	54
5	Twente	25	14	7	4	+27	49
6	Sparta Rotterdam	25	14	6	5	+18	48
7	Utrecht	26	9	9	8	-3	36
8	Nijmegen	28	7	14	7	+7	35
9	Waalwijk	26	9	8	9	+1	35
10	Heerenveen	26	9	7	10	-5	34
11	For Sittard	27	9	5	13	-12	32
12	Go Ahead Eagles	27	7	9	11	-10	30
13	Vitesse	28	6	9	13	-15	27
14	Volendam	28	7	6	15	-26	27
15	FC Emmen	28	5	10	13	-21	25
16	Excelsior	28	7	3	18	-40	24
17	Groningen	28	4	5	19	-30	17
18	Cambuur	28	4	4	20	-34	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	12	1	1	+36	37
2	Twente	13	11	2	0	+29	35
3	Feyenoord	13	9	4	0	+19	31
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	7	5	2	+10	26
5	Ajax	13	7	4	2	+25	25
6	Sparta Rotterdam	12	8	1	3	+11	25
7	Waalwijk	14	7	3	4	+9	24
8	Excelsior	14	6	2	6	-6	20
9	Volendam	13	6	1	6	-6	19
10	Nijmegen	14	3	9	2	+7	18
11	FC Emmen	15	3	9	3	-2	18
12	Go Ahead Eagles	13	4	5	4	-1	17
13	Utrecht	13	4	5	4	-1	17
14	For Sittard	14	4	3	7	-6	15
15	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-7	14
16	Vitesse	14	3	5	6	-9	14
17	Groningen	14	3	3	8	-7	12
18	Cambuur	14	2	0	12	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	14	10	3	1	+17	33
2	Ajax	14	9	4	1	+19	31
3	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	1	4	+11	28
4	Sparta Rotterdam	13	6	5	2	+7	23
5	PSV Eindhoven	14	6	4	4	+6	22
6	Heerenveen	13	5	5	3	+2	20
7	Utrecht	13	5	4	4	-2	19
8	Nijmegen	14	4	5	5	+0	17
9	For Sittard	13	5	2	6	-6	17
10	Twente	12	3	5	4	-2	14
11	Vitesse	14	3	4	7	-6	13
12	Go Ahead Eagles	14	3	4	7	-9	13
13	Waalwijk	12	2	5	5	-8	11
14	Cambuur	14	2	4	8	-17	10
15	Volendam	15	1	5	9	-20	8
16	FC Emmen	13	2	1	10	-19	7
17	Groningen	14	1	2	11	-23	5
18	Excelsior	14	1	1	12	-34	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.