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Taça de Portugal

Referee: Iancu Vasilica

Vila Meã

T S

0–1

Full-time

Estrela

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vila Meã Estrela

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paredes	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Nacional	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Felgueiras 1932	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Santa Clara	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Academica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Sintrense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	FC Serpa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Rebordosa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+13	4
12	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	1	0	+7	4
13	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
14	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Pêro Pinheiro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+12	3
18	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
19	Amora	2	1	0	1	+7	3
20	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+5	3
21	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
25	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
26	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Vilar de Perdizes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Quarteirense SAD	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Tocha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Sandinenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
60	Fabril Barreiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
61	Ribeirão	2	1	0	1	-1	3
62	Mirandela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
63	Florgrade	2	1	0	1	-2	3
64	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
65	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
66	União Micaelense	2	1	0	1	-3	3
67	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
68	Pombal	2	1	0	1	-3	3
69	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
70	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Sanjoanense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
81	Atlético CP	2	0	1	1	-1	1
82	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
83	SC Covilha	2	0	1	1	-3	1
84	Os Limianos	2	0	1	1	-4	1
85	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
123	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
124	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
125	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
126	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
127	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
128	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
129	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
130	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
131	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
132	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
133	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0
134	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paredes	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Academica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
6	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
7	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Vilar de Perdizes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	União Micaelense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	Rebordosa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
31	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
32	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Pêro Pinheiro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Atlético CP	2	0	1	1	-1	1
39	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
40	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Quarteirense SAD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Sandinenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Ribeirão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
74	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+12	3
5	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
10	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Tocha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Fabril Barreiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Mirandela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
45	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	União Micaelense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
81	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
82	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
83	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vila Meã Estrela

Half-time 0–0

Ismael 🔁

↦ Leandro Borges

46′

57′

🟨 Aloisio

João Moreira 🔁

↦ C. Quiñones

64′

65′

🔁 Ronaldo Tavares

↦ A. Ndour

65′

🔁 Ronald

↦ Léo Jabá

Ema 🔁

↦ João Góis

70′

F. Miranda 🟨

73′

🟨

Gonçalo Ornelas 🔁

↦ Nuno Pedras

80′

Adílio Varela 🔁

↦ Júlio Alves

80′

O. Silva Costa Filho 🟨

81′

84′

⚽ Erivaldo Almeida 0–1

87′

🔁 Manuel Keliano

↦ Vitó

90′

🔁 Kialonda Gaspar

↦ Erivaldo Almeida

90′

🔁 Hevertton Santos

↦ Kikas

97′

🟨 R. Tavares

R. Costa 🟨

97′

Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Vila Meã

48 Francisco Miranda

22 Elízio

13 João Góis

4 Pedro Meneses

26 C. Quiñones

2 Ricardo Costa

14 Odailson

17 Nuno Pedras

29 Leandro Borges

9 Júlio Alves

31 Zidane

Bench (9)

7 Ismael

18 João Moreira

10 Ema

6 Gonçalo Ornelas

77 Adílio Varela

23 Rui Ramos

27 Vítor Hugo

30 Tiago Rocha

Fraga

Coach: João Pedro Coelho

Estrela

1 António Filipe

13 Miguel Lopes

70 Mansur

12 Jean Felipe

14 Erivaldo Almeida

25 K. Shinga

6 Aloísio Souza

18 Vitó

8 Léo Jabá

29 Kikas

61 A. Ndour

Bench (9)

9 Ronaldo Tavares

90 Ronald

23 Manuel Keliano

4 Kialonda Gaspar

27 Hevertton Santos

2 J. Omurwa

10 André Luiz

98 Dida

Manuel Figueiredo

Coach: Sérgio Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

24. Sep TP 2 years ago

11. Sep TP 4 years ago

Referee

Iancu Vasilica · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,2 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

29,7 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Vila Meã

Estrela

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee