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Eredivisie

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

Heracles

T T T U U

1–3

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,5

5,3

Scored

0,2

4,5

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-2,2

+3,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

0,0

6,0

Scored

0,0

5,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,20 xG 2,44

25% Possession 75%

6 Shots 32

3 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 14

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 12

4 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 11. · PSV Eindhoven 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	For Sittard	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
2	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.1	6
3	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.0	6
4	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.0	4
5	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
6	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
7	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.5	2
9	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
10	Willem II	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
11	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
12	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
13	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
14	Nijmegen	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.1	0
15	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
16	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
17	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0
18	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
2	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
3	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
4	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
5	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
6	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
8	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
9	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
10	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
11	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
12	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
13	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
14	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
2	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
3	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
5	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
6	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
7	Willem II	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
8	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
9	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
10	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
11	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
12	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
13	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
14	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.