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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Heerenveen

T U T T T

1–1

Full-time

Utrecht

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,65 xG 1,06

64% Possession 36%

21 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 13. · Utrecht 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	For Sittard	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
3	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
4	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
6	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
8	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
9	Willem II	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
10	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
11	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
12	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
13	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
14	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
15	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
16	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
17	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.0	0
18	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
2	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
3	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
4	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
5	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
6	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
7	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
8	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
9	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
10	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
2	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
3	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
4	Willem II	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
5	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
6	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
7	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
8	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
9	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
10	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.