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Primeira Liga

Referee: André Narciso

Maritimo

S T T U T

2–3

Full-time

Tondela

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Tondela

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 17. · Tondela 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	3	0	1	+9	9
2	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+5	6
3	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Boavista	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Moreirense	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Portimonense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Santa Clara	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Aves	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Tondela	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Setubal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
15	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
16	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Benfica	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Aves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Maritimo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Tondela	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-2	2
8	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Belenenses	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-5	1
12	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Setubal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.