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Eliteserien
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Kristiansund
U T U S T
4–0
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
37%
19%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
41%
37%
Both score Ø 56%
48%
63%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
19 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 4
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kristiansund 7. · Sarpsborg 08 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 27 18 5 4 +33 59
2 Bodo/Glimt 27 14 9 4 +20 51
3 Odd 28 14 7 7 +7 49
4 Rosenborg 27 12 9 6 +10 45
5 Viking 28 12 7 9 +9 43
6 Brann 28 10 10 8 +5 40
7 Kristiansund 27 10 8 9 +0 38
8 Haugesund 28 8 12 8 +4 36
9 Valerenga 27 8 9 10 -2 33
10 Stabaek 27 8 9 10 -2 33
11 Lillestrom 27 7 8 12 -12 29
12 Sarpsborg 08 27 5 13 9 -6 28
13 Tromso 27 8 4 15 -18 28
14 Stromsgodset 27 6 8 13 -16 26
15 Mjondalen 27 4 12 11 -15 24
16 Ranheim 27 6 6 15 -17 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Sarpsborg 08
1–0 Jesper Isaksen
13′
23′
🟨 Mostafa Abdellaoue
2–0 Amahl Pellegrino
Serigne Mor Mbaye
30′
2–1 Alexandre Letellier
own goal
30′
45′
🟨 Niklas Gunnarsson
Half-time 2–1
60′
🔁 Jörgen Strand Larsen
↦ Kyle Lafferty
3–1 Christoffer Aasbak
Amahl Pellegrino
62′
4–1 Sondre Sorlie
Flamur Kastrati
67′
71′
🔁 Matti Lund Nielsen
↦ Mostafa Abdellaoue
Meinhard Olsen 🔁
↦ Flamur Kastrati
73′
Olav Oby 🔁
↦ Sondre Sorlie
78′
81′
🔁 Kristoffer Larsen
↦ Mario Pavelić
Erlend Sivertsen 🔁
↦ Jesper Isaksen
82′
90′
🟨 Jonathan Lindseth
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Kristiansund

4-1-4-1
30 Serigne Mor Mbaye G
22 Bent Sormo D
5 Dan Peter Ulvestad D
4 Christophe Psyche D
3 Christoffer Aasbak D
6 Andreas Hopmark M
24 Sondre Sorlie M
14 Jesper Isaksen M
10 Liridon Kalludra M
9 Amahl Pellegrino M
11 Flamur Kastrati F
Bench (7)
1 Sean McDermott
19 Aliou Coly
15 Erlend Sivertsen
21 Amidou Diop
8 Olav Oby
16 Meinhard Olsen
7 Torgil Owre Gjertsen

Coach: C. Michelsen

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
30 Alexandre Letellier G
20 Magnar Odegaard D
4 Bjorn Utvik D
5 Niklas Gunnarsson D
13 Mario Pavelić D
7 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen M
15 Gaute Hoberg Vetti M
17 Kristoffer Zachariassen M
11 Jonathan Lindseth M
21 Mostafa Abdellaoue F
48 Kyle Lafferty F
Bench (7)
31 Aslak Falch
6 Nicolai Naess
8 Matti Lund Nielsen
19 Kristoffer Larsen
26 Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly
45 Jörgen Strand Larsen
10 Steffen Skalevik

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.