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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Wolves
S S U U U
2–1
Full-time
Aston Villa
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
18%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
18%
73%
Both score Ø 69%
73%
64%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 15. · Aston Villa 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 11 10 1 0 +16 31
2 Leicester 12 8 2 2 +21 26
3 Chelsea 12 8 2 2 +10 26
4 Man City 11 8 1 2 +24 25
5 Sheffield United 12 4 5 3 +4 17
6 Arsenal 12 4 5 3 -1 17
7 Bournemouth 12 4 4 4 +0 16
8 Brighton 11 4 3 4 +0 15
9 Burnley 12 4 3 5 -1 15
10 Crystal Palace 12 4 3 5 -6 15
11 Newcastle 12 4 3 5 -7 15
12 Tottenham 12 3 5 4 +1 14
13 Everton 12 4 2 6 -5 14
14 Man United 11 3 4 4 +2 13
15 Wolves 11 2 7 2 +0 13
16 West Ham 12 3 4 5 -6 13
17 Aston Villa 11 3 2 6 -2 11
18 Watford 12 1 5 6 -15 8
19 Southampton 12 2 2 8 -18 8
20 Norwich 12 2 1 9 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Aston Villa
8′
🔁 Ø. Nyland
↦ J. Steer
10′
🟨 Frédéric Guilbert
Romain Saïss 🟨
12′
27′
🟨 Marvelous Nakamba
40′
🟨 Tyrone Mings
1–0 Rúben Neves
João Moutinho
41′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🔁 N. Taylor
↦ M. Targett
69′
🔁 H. Lansbury
↦ M. Nakamba
Diogo Jota 🟨
74′
Pedro Neto 🔁
↦ Diogo Jota
83′
2–0 R. Jiménez
Adama Traoré
84′
R. Bennett 🔁
↦ Rúben Neves
85′
João Moutinho 🟨
86′
Jonny Castro 🟨
90′
P. Cutrone 🔁
↦ R. Jiménez
90′
92′
Trézéguet 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Wolves

3-4-3
11 Rui Patrício G
2 M. Doherty M
16 C. Coady D
19 Jonny Castro M
28 João Moutinho M
27 R. Saïss D
32 L. Dendoncker D
8 Rúben Neves M
9 R. Jiménez F
37 Adama Traoré F
18 Diogo Jota F
Bench (7)
7 Pedro Neto
5 R. Bennett
10 P. Cutrone
26 T. Perry
49 M. Kilman
29 Rúben Vinagre
21 J. Ruddy

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Aston Villa

4-3-3
12 J. Steer G
24 F. Guilbert D
40 T. Mings D
18 M. Targett D
15 E. Konsa D
17 Trézéguet F
7 J. McGinn M
11 M. Nakamba M
21 A. El Ghazi F
6 Douglas Luiz M
9 Wesley F
Bench (7)
25 Ø. Nyland
3 N. Taylor
8 H. Lansbury
26 J. Kodjia
27 Ahmed El Mohamady
5 J. Chester
14 C. Hourihane

Coach: D. Smith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,60
B
4,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.