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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Oliveira

Sp Lisbon

T S S S T

2–0

Full-time

Belenenses

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Belenenses

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

50%

30%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 55%

80%

30%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,6

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

19 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 5. · Belenenses 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	11	0	1	+22	33
2	Porto	11	9	1	1	+20	28
3	Famalicao	11	7	3	1	+7	24
4	Rio Ave	12	5	3	4	+3	18
5	Sp Lisbon	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Guimaraes	10	4	4	2	+7	16
7	Tondela	12	4	4	4	+0	16
8	Boavista	11	3	6	2	+2	15
9	Gil Vicente	12	3	5	4	-3	14
10	Santa Clara	12	3	5	4	-3	14
11	Moreirense	12	2	6	4	-2	12
12	Sp Braga	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	Setubal	11	2	6	3	-4	12
14	Vitoria Setubal	11	2	6	3	-4	12
15	Maritimo	12	2	6	4	-5	12
16	Belenenses	10	3	2	5	-8	11
17	Portimonense	12	1	6	5	-8	9
18	Pacos Ferreira	11	2	2	7	-10	8
19	Aves	11	1	0	10	-14	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	6	0	0	+17	18
2	Benfica	7	6	0	1	+13	18
3	Famalicao	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	Guimaraes	5	3	2	0	+10	11
5	Rio Ave	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Gil Vicente	7	2	5	0	+3	11
7	Setubal	6	2	4	0	+2	10
8	Vitoria Setubal	6	2	4	0	+2	10
9	Boavista	5	2	3	0	+3	9
10	Santa Clara	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+3	8
12	Sp Braga	5	2	2	1	+0	8
13	Pacos Ferreira	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Sp Lisbon	4	2	0	2	+1	6
15	Maritimo	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Belenenses	5	2	0	3	-3	6
17	Tondela	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Aves	5	1	0	4	-2	3
19	Portimonense	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Tondela	7	3	3	1	+3	12
3	Sp Lisbon	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Famalicao	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Porto	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Rio Ave	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Portimonense	7	1	4	2	-4	7
8	Boavista	6	1	3	2	-1	6
9	Maritimo	6	1	3	2	-3	6
10	Guimaraes	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Santa Clara	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Sp Braga	6	1	1	4	-4	4
14	Moreirense	7	0	4	3	-5	4
15	Gil Vicente	5	1	0	4	-6	3
16	Setubal	5	0	2	3	-6	2
17	Vitoria Setubal	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	1	4	-9	1
19	Aves	6	0	0	6	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.