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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
Vizela
T
2–1
Full-time
Tondela
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vizela Tondela
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
0,0
1,2
Conceded
3,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
20 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vizela 17. · Tondela 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Estoril 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Gil Vicente 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Sp Lisbon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Tondela 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Porto 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Pacos Ferreira 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Benfica 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Portimonense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Guimaraes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
11 Moreirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Belenenses 1 0 0 1 -2 0
13 Famalicao 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Arouca 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Boavista 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Vizela 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Santa Clara 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vizela Tondela
Nuno Moreira 🟨
-5′
Bruno Wilson 🟨
37′
39′
⚽ João Pedro 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Marcos Paulo 🟨
47′
1–1 Kiko Bondoso ⚽
52′
58′
🟨 Jhon Murillo
66′
🔁 Iker Undabarrena
↦ Tiago Dantas
67′
🔁 Pedro Augusto
↦ Salvador Agra
Claudemir 🔁
↦ Raphael Guzzo
69′
K. Zohi 🔁
↦ Nuno Moreira
73′
Guilherme Schettine 🔁
↦ Cassiano
73′
78′
🟨 Jota Gonçalves
79′
🔁 R. Dadaşov
↦ Daniel dos Anjos
79′
🔁 Telmo Arcanjo
↦ João Pedro
82′
🟨 Naoufel Khacef
F. Cann 🔁
↦ Kiko Bondoso
85′
2–1 Guilherme Schettine ⚽
Samú
98′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Vizela

4-5-1
87 Charles G
37 R. Ofori D
3 Bruno Wilson D
24 Kiki Afonso D
10 Kiko Bondoso M
39 K. Kouao D
17 Marcos Paulo M
8 Raphael Guzzo M
20 Samú M
79 Nuno Moreira M
9 Cassiano F
Bench (9)
6 Claudemir
22 K. Zohi
95 Guilherme Schettine
99 F. Cann
19 A. Méndez
12 Marcelo
82 Tomás Silva
14 Igor Julião
84 Ivo Gonçalves

Coach: Álvaro Pacheco

Tondela

4-4-2
88 Pedro Trigueira G
23 Bebeto D
24 N. Khacef D
72 Eduardo Quaresma D
4 Jota Gonçalves D
8 João Pedro M
28 Tiago Dantas M
7 Salvador Agra M
70 Rafael Barbosa M
10 J. Murillo F
29 Daniel dos Anjos F
Bench (8)
21 Iker Undabarrena
6 Pedro Augusto
17 R. Dadaşov
80 Telmo Arcanjo
99 B. Niasse
34 Ricardo Alves
9 Rúben Fonseca
45 S. Anne

Coach: Pako Ayestarán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,37
🔒
U
3,17
🔒
B
3,10
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,27
🔒
U2,5
1,63
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.