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Primeira Liga
Referee: Cláudio Pereira
Guimaraes
S U T S S
1–0
Full-time
Estoril
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Estoril
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
4 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Guimaraes 8. · Estoril 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Boavista 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Sp Braga 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Estoril 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Gil Vicente 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Guimaraes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Vizela 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Santa Clara 2 0 1 1 -1 1
11 Casa Pia 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Portimonense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Pacos Ferreira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Chaves 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
16 Arouca 1 0 0 1 -4 0
17 Rio Ave 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Famalicao 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guimaraes Estoril
15′
🟨 Joãozinho
1–0 André Silva
André Almeida
16′
André Silva 🟨
34′
39′
🟨 Arthur Gomes
Tiago Silva 🟨
42′
43′
🟨 Gonçalo Esteves
Half-time 1–0
60′
🟨 Gonçalo Esteves
60′
🟥 Gonçalo Esteves
Anderson Silva 🔁
↦ André Silva
67′
67′
🔁 Rodrigo Martins
↦ Tiago Gouveia
67′
🔁 J. Léa Siliki
↦ M. Ndiaye
67′
🔁 Gilson Benchimol
↦ João Carlos
André Almeida 🟨
72′
N. Janvier 🔁
↦ André Almeida
75′
Nélson Luz 🔁
↦ Jota Silva
75′
75′
🔁 Tiago Araújo
↦ Arthur Gomes
87′
🟨 James Léa Siliki
Dani Silva 🔁
↦ I. Bamba
89′
90′
🔁 E. Achouri
↦ Francisco Geraldes
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-3-3
14 Bruno Varela G
2 Miguel Maga D
13 André Amaro D
3 M. Villanueva D
5 Hélder Sá D
70 André Almeida M
22 I. Bamba M
10 Tiago Silva M
11 Jota Silva F
17 André Silva F
7 Rúben Lameiras F
Bench (9)
33 Anderson Silva
98 N. Janvier
20 Nélson Luz
80 Dani Silva
63 Celton Biai
76 Bruno Gaspar
25 R. Ogawa
6 A. Mumin
38 Antoñín Cortés

Coach: Moreno

Estoril

4-2-3-1
99 Daniel Figueira G
87 Gonçalo Esteves D
23 Pedro Álvaro D
3 Bernardo Vital D
31 Joãozinho D
25 M. Ndiaye M
32 L. Rosier M
21 Tiago Gouveia M
10 Francisco Geraldes M
11 Arthur Gomes M
50 João Carlos F
Bench (9)
7 Rodrigo Martins
95 J. Léa Siliki
29 Gilson Benchimol
78 Tiago Araújo
17 E. Achouri
8 Serginho
5 Volnei Feltes
22 T. Thomas
47 João Oliveira

Coach: Nelson Veríssimo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
U
3,33
B
3,79
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Cláudio Pereira · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.