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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Arouca

S U S S S

0–1

Full-time

Rio Ave

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arouca Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 38%

42%

33%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

11 Shots 9

0 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

10 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arouca 8. · Rio Ave 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	11	1	0	+28	34
2	Porto	12	8	2	2	+19	26
3	Sp Braga	12	8	1	3	+16	25
4	Casa Pia	12	7	2	3	+4	23
5	Sp Lisbon	12	7	1	4	+10	22
6	Guimaraes	12	6	2	4	+0	20
7	Portimonense	12	6	1	5	-1	19
8	Arouca	12	5	4	3	-4	19
9	Boavista	12	5	2	5	-6	17
10	Estoril	12	4	4	4	-2	16
11	Chaves	12	4	4	4	-4	16
12	Rio Ave	12	4	3	5	-3	15
13	Vizela	12	3	3	6	-4	12
14	Famalicao	12	3	2	7	-6	11
15	Santa Clara	12	2	4	6	-4	10
16	Gil Vicente	12	2	3	7	-8	9
17	Maritimo	12	1	3	8	-18	6
18	Pacos Ferreira	12	0	2	10	-17	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Porto	6	5	0	1	+16	15
3	Sp Lisbon	6	5	0	1	+12	15
4	Guimaraes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Rio Ave	6	4	0	2	+3	12
6	Boavista	6	3	2	1	+0	11
7	Sp Braga	6	3	1	2	+6	10
8	Casa Pia	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Portimonense	6	3	1	2	+0	10
10	Arouca	6	3	1	2	-2	10
11	Famalicao	5	3	0	2	+2	9
12	Chaves	6	1	4	1	+1	7
13	Santa Clara	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Gil Vicente	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Estoril	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Vizela	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Maritimo	6	0	2	4	-4	2
18	Pacos Ferreira	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Sp Braga	6	5	0	1	+10	15
3	Casa Pia	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Estoril	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Porto	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Portimonense	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Arouca	6	2	3	1	-2	9
8	Chaves	6	3	0	3	-5	9
9	Vizela	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Sp Lisbon	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Guimaraes	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Boavista	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Santa Clara	6	1	1	4	-3	4
14	Gil Vicente	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Maritimo	6	1	1	4	-14	4
16	Rio Ave	6	0	3	3	-6	3
17	Famalicao	7	0	2	5	-8	2
18	Pacos Ferreira	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.