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Premier League

Referee: Jonathan Moss

Hull

S T S S S

0–1

Full-time

Man United

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Man United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,0

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

8 Shots 29

2 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 8

8 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hull 5. · Man United 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Everton	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Man City	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Man United	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Hull	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Tottenham	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Arsenal	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Middlesbrough	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Leicester	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Liverpool	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	West Brom	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Burnley	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Swansea	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Southampton	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Sunderland	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Crystal Palace	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Watford	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Bournemouth	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Stoke	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Leicester	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Man United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Man City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Hull	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Southampton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Watford	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Liverpool	3	1	1	1	-1	4
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Man United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hull	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sunderland	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Bournemouth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Stoke	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.