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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Charleroi
S S S S U
3–0
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 37%
60%
14%
Points per game
2,1
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
45%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 3
12 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 4. · Cercle Brugge 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 20 16 3 1 +35 51
2 Antwerp 22 13 4 5 +19 43
3 Standard 21 12 5 4 +21 41
4 Charleroi 20 12 5 3 +17 41
5 Gent 20 11 5 4 +18 38
6 Genk 22 10 5 7 +8 35
7 Waregem 20 9 5 6 +6 32
8 Mechelen 20 9 5 6 +3 32
9 Mouscron 19 6 8 5 +2 26
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 19 6 8 5 +2 26
11 Anderlecht 20 5 9 6 +0 24
12 St Truiden 20 6 5 9 -12 23
13 Eupen 21 5 5 11 -17 20
14 Kortrijk 22 4 4 14 -13 16
15 Oostende 20 4 4 12 -16 16
16 Cercle Brugge 21 3 4 14 -24 13
17 Beveren 18 2 5 11 -23 11
18 Waasland-Beveren 19 2 5 12 -26 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Cercle Brugge
1–0 M. Bruno
A. Gholizadeh
8′
29′
🟨 Thibo Somers
30′
🔁 L. Foster
↦ C. Dekuyper
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Gholizadeh
R. Morioka
51′
58′
🔁 A. Gory
↦ K. Hazard
Ryota Morioka 🟨
59′
70′
🔁 K. Hoggas
↦ G. Donsah
M. Fall 🔁
↦ M. Bruno
72′
S. Nicholson 🔁
↦ K. Rezaei
76′
G. Hendrickx 🔁
↦ D. Henen
85′
3–0 M. Fall
G. Hendrickx
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
25 Nurio Fortuna D
4 M. Busi D
44 R. Morioka M
77 M. Bruno F
7 D. Henen F
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
8 A. Gholizadeh
10 K. Rezaei F
Bench (7)
27 M. Fall
16 S. Nicholson
22 G. Hendrickx
28 K. Tshiend
40 R. Descamps
17 S. Marinos
5 M. Diagne

Coach: K. Belhocine

Cercle Brugge

3-5-2
83 M. Hassen G
5 N. Ueda D
22 K. Dabila D
14 J. Panzo D
41 G. Biancone D
8 S. Peeters M
30 G. Donsah M
18 L. Coulibaly M
26 C. Dekuyper M
34 T. Somers F
7 K. Hazard F
Bench (7)
13 L. Foster
28 A. Gory
20 K. Hoggas
3 J. Serrano
19 K. N'Guessan
25 M. Goblet
32 A. Cassaert

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,44
U
4,58
B
6,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.