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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Anderlecht
U S S S U
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 89%
89%
89%
Average goals
3,6
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%
21 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 5. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 10 6 3 1 +7 21
2 Beerschot VA 10 7 0 3 +3 21
3 Charleroi 10 6 2 2 +8 20
4 Antwerp 10 5 3 2 +6 18
5 Anderlecht 9 4 5 0 +8 17
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 5 2 2 +3 17
7 Kortrijk 11 5 2 4 +2 17
8 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +15 16
9 Cercle Brugge 9 5 0 4 +4 15
10 Genk 9 3 5 1 +1 14
11 Eupen 10 3 5 2 +0 14
12 Waregem 11 4 1 6 -6 13
13 Oostende 8 3 3 2 +6 12
14 Mechelen 8 3 1 4 -3 10
15 Gent 9 3 0 6 -2 9
16 St Truiden 9 1 3 5 -10 6
17 Waasland-Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
18 Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
19 Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Oud-Heverlee Leuven
7′
🟨 Kristiyan Malinov
Landry Dimata 🟨
35′
1–0 Y. Verschaeren
M. Murillo
38′
2–0 P. Tau
B. Mykhaylichenko
45′
Half-time 2–1
53′
F. Duplus 2–1
58′
🟨 Sascha Kotysch
64′
🔁 Musa Al-Taamari
↦ P. Ngawa
P. Žulj 🔁
↦ L. Dimata
73′
78′
🔁 D. Hubert
↦ K. Malinov
84′
M. Maertens 2–2
T. Henry
M. Bundu 🔁
↦ Y. Verschaeren
86′
95′
🔁 A. Allemeersch
↦ X. Mercier
M. Vlap 🔁
↦ P. Tau
97′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
20 M. Miazga D
14 B. Mykhaylichenko D
62 M. Murillo D
42 H. Delcroix D
55 M. Kana D
8 J. Cullen M
51 Y. Verschaeren M
9 L. Dimata F
11 P. Tau F
7 L. Nmecha F
Bench (7)
23 P. Žulj
19 M. Bundu
10 M. Vlap
92 K. Lawrence
32 D. Luckassen
46 A. El Hadj
1 T. Wellenreuther

Coach: V. Kompany

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-3
90 R. Romo G
23 S. Kotysch D
19 F. Duplus D
3 D. Tshimanga D
5 P. Ngawa D
24 C. De Norre D
29 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier M
33 M. Maertens M
14 K. Sowah M
9 T. Henry F
Bench (7)
13 Musa Al-Taamari
6 D. Hubert
39 A. Allemeersch
2 V. Jemelka
21 D. Iversen
18 B. Bese
28 T. Raemaekers

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,51
U ✓
4,37
B
5,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,45
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.