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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Kortrijk
T T T T T
2–3
Full-time
Anderlecht
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 35/29 matches
Win Ø 47%
31%
62%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
37%
59%
Both score Ø 49%
49%
48%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,4
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 11. · Anderlecht 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 29 22 4 3 +49 70
2 Club Brugge 29 20 5 4 +35 65
3 Anderlecht 29 18 8 3 +47 62
4 Antwerp 30 19 5 6 +22 62
5 Gent 29 15 8 6 +21 53
6 St Truiden 35 15 6 14 -1 51
7 Charleroi 29 14 7 8 +11 49
8 Cercle Brugge 36 13 9 14 +4 48
9 Genk 29 14 5 10 +23 47
10 Mechelen 29 14 5 10 +1 47
11 Kortrijk 35 11 10 14 +0 43
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 10 12 13 -8 42
13 Oostende 36 11 8 17 -26 41
14 Standard 35 10 9 16 -16 39
15 Waregem 35 9 8 18 -27 35
16 Eupen 36 8 9 19 -25 33
17 Seraing United 33 8 4 21 -36 28
18 Seraing 34 8 4 22 -38 28
19 Beerschot VA 35 5 4 26 -36 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Anderlecht
Billal Messaoudi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
18′
19′
🟨 Wesley Hoedt
1–0 T. Sainsbury
20′
25′
J. Zirkzee 1–1
K. Olsson
Half-time 1–1
J. Herrmann 🔁
↦ M. Badamosi
46′
52′
A. Ait El Hadj 1–2
57′
C. Kouamé 1–3
J. Zirkzee
63′
🔁 F. Amuzu
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
2–3 B. Reynolds
N. Mehssatou
67′
M. Jonckheere 🔁
↦ S. Sissoko
68′
D. Mbayo 🔁
↦ M. Moreno
68′
F. Selemani 🔁
↦ V. Torp
68′
74′
🔁 B. Mykhaylichenko
↦ Sergio Gómez
75′
🔁 B. Raman
↦ J. Zirkzee
75′
🔁 K. Arnstad
↦ L. Refaelov
Michiel Jonckheere 🟨
82′
D. Henen 🔁
↦ B. Reynolds
84′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Kortrijk

4-4-2
16 M. Deman G
5 T. Sainsbury D
2 B. Reynolds D
4 T. Watanabe D
25 N. Mehssatou D
21 V. Torp F
14 S. Sissoko M
18 A. Kadri M
29 M. Moreno M
9 B. Messaoudi M
19 M. Badamosi F
Bench (7)
39 J. Herrmann
27 M. Jonckheere
7 D. Mbayo
10 F. Selemani
77 D. Henen
6 L. Rougeaux
40 E. De Vlaeminck

Coach: K. Belhocine

Anderlecht

4-2-2-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
2 L. Magallán D
4 W. Hoedt D
62 M. Murillo D
17 Sergio Gómez D
11 L. Refaelov M
20 K. Olsson M
8 J. Cullen M
46 A. Ait El Hadj M
99 C. Kouamé F
23 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (7)
7 F. Amuzu
14 B. Mykhaylichenko
9 B. Raman
61 K. Arnstad
55 M. Kana
52 M. Stroeykens
16 B. Verbruggen

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,40
U
4,76
B ✓
1,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.