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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Waregem
T S T T T
3–2
Full-time
Mechelen
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 20/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
20%
44%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
75%
63%
Average goals
3,8
3,4
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
2,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 18. · Mechelen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 17 14 1 2 +31 43
2 Anderlecht 18 11 6 1 +29 39
3 Club Brugge 17 11 4 2 +15 37
4 Kortrijk 22 10 7 5 +8 37
5 Antwerp 17 10 2 5 +11 32
6 Charleroi 16 8 5 3 +11 29
7 Standard 19 7 5 7 -9 26
8 Oostende 21 8 2 11 -15 26
9 Cercle Brugge 21 7 4 10 +0 25
10 Eupen 20 7 4 9 -1 25
11 Genk 15 7 3 5 +10 24
12 Mechelen 16 7 2 7 -3 23
13 Gent 15 6 4 5 +6 22
14 St Truiden 20 6 3 11 -12 21
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 20 4 8 8 -11 20
16 Seraing 20 6 1 13 -17 19
17 Seraing United 20 6 1 13 -17 19
18 Waregem 20 4 5 11 -20 17
19 Beerschot VA 20 3 3 14 -16 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Mechelen
-5′
🟨 Yannick Thoelen
37′
K. Mrabti 0–1
M. Shved
Frank Boya 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 J. Vossen
A. Ciranni
53′
Z. Gano 🔁
↦ J. Vossen
67′
67′
🔁 I. Swers
↦ S. Walsh
74′
N. Storm 1–2
K. Mrabti
I. Doumbia 🔁
↦ A. Fadera
79′
D. Hubert 🔁
↦ F. Boya
79′
79′
🔁 G. Hairemans
↦ I. de Camargo
80′
🔁 J. Van Damme
↦ J. Van Hecke
B. Srarfi 🔁
↦ D. Kutesa
83′
D. De Neve 🔁
↦ E. Pletinckx
83′
90′
🔁 S. Bateau
↦ N. Storm
91′
🟨 Samuel Oum Gouet
2–2 D. De Neve
C. Humphreys-Grant
91′
3–2 J. Dompé
94′
Jean-Luc Dompe 🟨
95′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Waregem

4-3-1-2
1 S. Bossut G
27 L. De Bock D
33 C. Humphreys-Grant D
14 A. Ciranni D
24 E. Pletinckx D
21 I. Seck M
19 D. Kutesa F
15 F. Boya M
9 J. Vossen M
17 J. Dompé F
23 A. Fadera M
Bench (7)
93 Z. Gano
98 I. Doumbia
6 D. Hubert
11 B. Srarfi
54 D. De Neve
25 L. Bostyn
8 L. Vigen

Coach: T. Simons

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
17 S. Oum Gouet M
6 J. Van Hecke M
10 I. de Camargo F
11 N. Storm M
19 K. Mrabti M
35 M. Shved M
Bench (7)
2 I. Swers
7 G. Hairemans
13 J. Van Damme
4 S. Bateau
40 J. Amuzu
15 Y. Thoelen
37 B. Van den Eynden

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,34
U
3,87
B
1,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.