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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Genk
S S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 63%
89%
36%
Points per game
2,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
78%
45%
Both score Ø 51%
56%
45%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,7
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
28 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 2. · Kortrijk 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 11 10 0 1 +15 30
2 Genk 9 8 1 0 +18 25
3 Club Brugge 10 7 1 2 +13 22
4 St. Gilloise 8 6 1 1 +6 19
5 Charleroi 11 6 0 5 +1 18
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 5 2 3 +0 17
7 Anderlecht 11 5 1 5 +7 16
8 St Truiden 11 3 4 4 -1 13
9 Kortrijk 11 4 1 6 -7 13
10 Standard 8 4 0 4 -2 12
11 Mechelen 11 3 2 6 -3 11
12 Gent 7 3 1 3 +2 10
13 Oostende 10 3 1 6 -4 10
14 Westerlo 7 3 0 4 -3 9
15 Seraing 10 3 0 7 -8 9
16 Seraing United 10 3 0 7 -8 9
17 Eupen 11 3 0 8 -9 9
18 Waregem 11 2 2 7 -11 8
19 Cercle Brugge 7 1 3 3 -6 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Kortrijk
1–0 P. Onuachu
M. Trésor
37′
Half-time 1–0
Bilal El Khannouss 🟨
55′
58′
F. Selemani 1–1
67′
🔁 B. Messaoudi
↦ F. Selemani
74′
🔁 P. Guèye
↦ D. Henen
Ángelo Preciado 🟨
76′
A. Németh 🔁
↦ B. El Khannouss
76′
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ A. Preciado
76′
2–1 P. Onuachu
79′
Bryan Heynen 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 N. Mehssatou
↦ O. Sych
83′
🔁 S. Lončar
↦ H. Keïta
83′
🔁 D. Mbayo
↦ F. Avenatti
M. Galarza 🔁
↦ M. Trésor
84′
Gerardo Arteaga 🟨
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
77 A. Preciado M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
18 P. Onuachu F
Bench (7)
35 A. Németh
7 M. Samatta
25 M. Galarza
10 N. Castro
40 T. Leysen
22 R. Carstensen
27 M. Didden

Coach: W. Vrancken

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
31 M. Ilić G
6 O. Sych D
4 T. Watanabe D
66 A. Radovanović D
30 K. D'Haene D
32 S. Tanaka M
12 H. Keïta M
77 D. Henen M
22 D. Lamkel Zé M
10 F. Selemani M
20 F. Avenatti F
Bench (7)
9 B. Messaoudi
17 P. Guèye
25 N. Mehssatou
33 S. Lončar
7 D. Mbayo
1 T. Vandenberghe
24 D. Dessoleil

Coach: A. Čustović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,29
U
5,72
B
9,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.