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Pro League
Referee: Luc Wouters
Westerlo
S U T T T
1–2
Full-time
Mechelen
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
100%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
7 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Westerlo 16. · Mechelen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Charleroi 4 3 1 0 +3 10
2 Waregem 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Anderlecht 4 2 2 0 +5 8
4 Genk 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Gent 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Club Brugge 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Lokeren 5 2 0 3 -1 6
8 Standard 4 1 2 1 +1 5
9 Mechelen 4 1 2 1 +0 5
10 Kortrijk 4 1 2 1 -3 5
11 St Truiden 4 1 1 2 -2 4
12 Eupen 5 1 1 3 -5 4
13 Oostende 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 5 1 0 4 -3 3
15 Beveren 4 0 2 2 -3 2
16 Westerlo 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Westerlo Mechelen
29′
🟨 Yohan Croizet
1–0 S. Ganvoula
R. Henkens
34′
37′
🟨 Aleksandar Bjelica
Half-time 1–1
46′
Y. Croizet 1–1
N. Schouterden
Maxime Annys 🟨
52′
G. Ruyssen 🔁
↦ F. Daems
55′
Y. Buyens 🔁
↦ M. Annys
57′
67′
🔁 S. De Witte
↦ A. El Messaoudi
E. Acolatse 🔁
↦ J. Molenberghs
76′
76′
🔁 G. Claes
↦ Y. Croizet
81′
🔁 R. Leal
↦ N. Schouterden
83′
M. Rits 1–2
86′
🟨 Nicolas Verdier
Silvere Ganvoula Mboussy 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Anthony Moris
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Westerlo

4-3-3
30 K. Van Langendonck G
3 F. Daems D
2 M. Apau D
16 J. Mustoe M
17 K. Schuermans D
8 M. Annys M
6 R. Henkens M
23 J. Molenberghs M
11 K. Hyland M
10 B. De Ceulaer F
35 S. Ganvoula F
Bench (7)
22 G. Ruyssen
29 Y. Buyens
9 E. Acolatse
1 K. Van Hout
7 E. Lanini
33 M. Manias
19 D. Christensen

Coach: B. Peeters

Mechelen

3-4-3
49 A. Moris G
15 E. Cocalić D
5 U. Vitas D
16 A. Bjelica F
3 A. El Messaoudi D
7 T. Matthys M
18 N. Schouterden M
11 M. Rits M
17 D. Kolovos M
10 Y. Croizet M
99 N. Verdier M
Bench (7)
4 S. De Witte
77 G. Claes
8 R. Leal
26 C. Coosemans
27 J. Peffer
29 J. Van Cleemput
55 Ž. Filipović

Coach: A. Janković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luc Wouters · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
14,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.